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№ 2023/2
OSTASHKO Tamara Oleksiivna1, VENGER Vitalij Vasyl'ovych2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Ukraine’s trade policy in Asia under multipolar globalization
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2023; 2:92-117 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2023.02.092 |
ABSTRACT ▼
JEL: F13, F14
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 92 - 117) |
REFERENCES ▼
1. World Bank (2021). Data. GDP (current US$). Retrieved from data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD
2. IMF (2000, April 12). Globalization: Threats or Opportunity International Monetary Fund. Retrieved from www.imf.org/external/np/exr/ib/2000/041200to.htm
3. Deutsch, Karl W., & Singer, J. David. (1964). Multipolar Power Systems and International Stability. World Politics, 16(3), 390-406. Cambridge University Press. Retrieved from users.metu.edu.tr/home405/utuba/wwwhome/Deutsch.pdf; doi.org/10.2307/2009578
4. Pieterse, Jan Nederveen (2017). Multipolar Globalization Emerging Economies and Development. Open Access Publications from the University of California. Retrieved from escholarship.org/uc/item/2dr6q014
5. Chang, Mable-Ann (2021, May 17) A More Multipolar World. CKGSB Knowledge. China-focused leadership and business analysis. Retrieved from english.ckgsb.edu.cn/knowledges/a-more-multipolar-world/
6. Thinkers50 (2019). Thinkers50 Ranking 2019. Retrieved from thinkers50.com/t50-ranking/list-2019/
7. Petri, P.A., Plummer, M.G. (2020, June). East Asia Decouples from the United States: Trade War, COVID-19, and East Asia’s New Trade Blocs. Peterson Institute for International Economics, PIIE working paper. Retrieved from www.piie.com/system/files/documents/wp20-9.pdf; doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3630294
8. Park, C.-Y., Petri, P.A., Plummer, M.G. (2021, October). Economic Implications of the Regional Petri Comprehensive Economic Partnership for Asia and the Pacific. ADB economics working paper series, 639. Retrieved from www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/740991/ewp-639-regional-comprehensive-economic-partnership.pdf; doi.org/10.22617/WPS210371-2
9. WTO (2022a). WTO Trade Profiles 2022 WTO. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/trade_profiles22_e.pdf
10. Maiko, V.A. (2011). Foreign policy and economic priorities of Ukraine in the countries of Central, South and Southeast Asia. Ekonomichnyi Chasopys-ХХІ. Ukrayna – Economic journal-ХХІ, 09-10, 3-7. Retrieved from dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/48025 [in Ukrainian].
11. Honcharuk, A.Z., Mykal, O.K., Kobzarenko, A.M. (2011). Priority issues of Ukraine’s policy towards Asian countries. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosini/prioritetni-pitannya-politiki-ukraini-schodo-krain-azii [in Ukrainian].
12. Honcharuk, A.Z., Drobotyuk, O.V., Kiktenko, V.O., et al. (2021). Ukraine and the countries of East, Southeast and South Asia: 2020 results and development prospects. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2021-09/analytrep_12_2021.pdf [in Ukrainian].
13. Ostashko, T.O. (2021). Multipolarity of the World Trade: Challenges and "Corridor of Opportunities" for Ukraine. Economy and forecasting, 4, 24-43. doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2021.04.024
14. WTO (2022b). World Trade Statistical Review 2022. Statistical tables. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/publications_e/wtsr_2022_e.htm
15. Sundaram, Asha (2022, April 13). India’s RCEP exit and its regional future. East Asia Forum Quarterly, 14(1). Retrieved from www.eastasiaforum.org/2022/04/13/indias-rcep-exit-and-its-regional-future/
16. Gamio, Lazaro, & Swanson, Ana. (2022, October 30). How Russia Pays for War. The New York Times. Retrieved from www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/30/business/economy/russia-trade-ukraine-war.html
17. WTO (2023a). China. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/CN_E.pdf
18. WTO (2022, March 9). China. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/415/Rev1. Retrieved from docsonline.wto.org/dol2fe/pages/ss/directdoc.aspx?filename=q:/wt/tpr/s415r1.pdf&open=true
19. Ostashko, T.O. (Ed.). (2020). Modernization of the economic policy of the development of spheres of activity and markets: in 4 parts. Part 2: Trade Policy: Prospects for Ukraine’s Participation in the "One Belt, One Road" Initiative. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv. Retrieved from ief.org.ua/docs/mg/326.pdf [in Ukrainian].
20. Ukraine will export rapeseed meal and honey to China (2022, December 08). Landlord. Retrieved from landlord.ua/news/ukraina-eksportuvatyme-v-kytai-ripakovyi-shrot-i-med/ [in Ukrainian].
21. Ostashko, T., Olefir, V., Venger, V., Boiko, O. A. (2021). Comparative Analysis of the Trade and Industrial Policies of Ukraine and China in the Context of the Obor Initiative. Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe, 24(2), 119-136. Retrieved from czasopisma.uni.lodz.pl/CER/article/view/10002; doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.24.15
22. McElwee, Lily (2023, February 23). Despite Beijing’s Charm Offensive, the EU-China Investment Agreement Is Not Coming Back. Center for Strategic and International Studies. Retrieved from www.csis.org/analysis/despite-beijings-charm-offensive-eu-china-investment-agreement-not-coming-back
23. Ostashko, T.O., Olefir, V.K. (2019). Prospects of free trade with China: development of domestic export and risks of import dependence. Economy and forecasting, 1, 124-152. doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2019.01.124
24. WITS (1990). India Trade Summary 1990. World Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved from wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/IND/Year/1990/Summarytext
25. Irwin, Douglas A. (2021, July 22). India’s trade reforms 30 years later: Great start but stalling. Peterson Institute for International Economics. Retrieved from www.piie.com/blogs/trade-and-investment-policy-watch/indias-trade-reforms-30-years-later-great-start-stalling
26. Jung, Euijin. (2020, September). Potential Trade between India and the United States. In Euijin Jung, Arvind Subramanian, and Steven R. Weisman (Eds.), A Wary Partnership: Future of US-India Economic Relations. PIIE Briefing, 20(2), 47-70. Retrieved from www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/wary-partnership-future-us-india-economic-relations
27. WTO (2023b). Regional Trade Agreements Database. RTAs in force, including accessions. Retrieved from rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicAllRTAListAccession.aspx
28. Schott, Jeffrey J. (2020, September). Has India’s Trade Negotiating Strategy Hit a Dead End? In Euijin Jung, Arvind Subramanian, and Steven R. Weisman (Eds.), A Wary Partnership: Future of US-India Economic Relations. PIIE Briefing, 20(2), 70-84. Retrieved from www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/wary-partnership-future-us-india-economic-relations
29. WTO (2022c). India. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/IN_e.pdf;
30. WTO (2020, November 25). India. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/403. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/s403_e.pdf
31. Alexandrov, O., Gavrylenko, N., Hrytsenko, A., Davymuka, O., Zamikula, M., Orlyk, V., et al. (2022). Republic of India: A Power on the Rise. Prospects for the development of Ukrainian-Indian relations. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2022-07/ad-india-07-07-2022-gotove.pdf [in Ukrainian].
32. WTO (2022d). Japan. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/JP_e.pdf
33. WTO (2020, November 6). Japan. Trade policy review. Report by the secretariat. WTO. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/s397_e.pdf
34. JTI Ukraine (2023). European Business Association. Retrieved from eba.com.ua/en/member/dzhej-ty-interneshnl/
35. Zhdanov, Ihor (2022, March 11). Military and Political Situation in Ukraine. Morning of March 11th, 2022. Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved from en.interfax.com.ua/news/blog/811466.html
36. WTO (2021, December 21). Republic of Korea. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/414/Rev.1. Retrieved from docsonline.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/SS/directdoc.aspx?filename=q:/WT/TPR/S414R1.pdf&Open=True
2. IMF (2000, April 12). Globalization: Threats or Opportunity International Monetary Fund. Retrieved from www.imf.org/external/np/exr/ib/2000/041200to.htm
3. Deutsch, Karl W., & Singer, J. David. (1964). Multipolar Power Systems and International Stability. World Politics, 16(3), 390-406. Cambridge University Press. Retrieved from users.metu.edu.tr/home405/utuba/wwwhome/Deutsch.pdf; doi.org/10.2307/2009578
4. Pieterse, Jan Nederveen (2017). Multipolar Globalization Emerging Economies and Development. Open Access Publications from the University of California. Retrieved from escholarship.org/uc/item/2dr6q014
5. Chang, Mable-Ann (2021, May 17) A More Multipolar World. CKGSB Knowledge. China-focused leadership and business analysis. Retrieved from english.ckgsb.edu.cn/knowledges/a-more-multipolar-world/
6. Thinkers50 (2019). Thinkers50 Ranking 2019. Retrieved from thinkers50.com/t50-ranking/list-2019/
7. Petri, P.A., Plummer, M.G. (2020, June). East Asia Decouples from the United States: Trade War, COVID-19, and East Asia’s New Trade Blocs. Peterson Institute for International Economics, PIIE working paper. Retrieved from www.piie.com/system/files/documents/wp20-9.pdf; doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3630294
8. Park, C.-Y., Petri, P.A., Plummer, M.G. (2021, October). Economic Implications of the Regional Petri Comprehensive Economic Partnership for Asia and the Pacific. ADB economics working paper series, 639. Retrieved from www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/740991/ewp-639-regional-comprehensive-economic-partnership.pdf; doi.org/10.22617/WPS210371-2
9. WTO (2022a). WTO Trade Profiles 2022 WTO. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/trade_profiles22_e.pdf
10. Maiko, V.A. (2011). Foreign policy and economic priorities of Ukraine in the countries of Central, South and Southeast Asia. Ekonomichnyi Chasopys-ХХІ. Ukrayna – Economic journal-ХХІ, 09-10, 3-7. Retrieved from dspace.nbuv.gov.ua/handle/123456789/48025 [in Ukrainian].
11. Honcharuk, A.Z., Mykal, O.K., Kobzarenko, A.M. (2011). Priority issues of Ukraine’s policy towards Asian countries. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/doslidzhennya/mizhnarodni-vidnosini/prioritetni-pitannya-politiki-ukraini-schodo-krain-azii [in Ukrainian].
12. Honcharuk, A.Z., Drobotyuk, O.V., Kiktenko, V.O., et al. (2021). Ukraine and the countries of East, Southeast and South Asia: 2020 results and development prospects. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2021-09/analytrep_12_2021.pdf [in Ukrainian].
13. Ostashko, T.O. (2021). Multipolarity of the World Trade: Challenges and "Corridor of Opportunities" for Ukraine. Economy and forecasting, 4, 24-43. doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2021.04.024
14. WTO (2022b). World Trade Statistical Review 2022. Statistical tables. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/publications_e/wtsr_2022_e.htm
15. Sundaram, Asha (2022, April 13). India’s RCEP exit and its regional future. East Asia Forum Quarterly, 14(1). Retrieved from www.eastasiaforum.org/2022/04/13/indias-rcep-exit-and-its-regional-future/
16. Gamio, Lazaro, & Swanson, Ana. (2022, October 30). How Russia Pays for War. The New York Times. Retrieved from www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/30/business/economy/russia-trade-ukraine-war.html
17. WTO (2023a). China. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/CN_E.pdf
18. WTO (2022, March 9). China. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/415/Rev1. Retrieved from docsonline.wto.org/dol2fe/pages/ss/directdoc.aspx?filename=q:/wt/tpr/s415r1.pdf&open=true
19. Ostashko, T.O. (Ed.). (2020). Modernization of the economic policy of the development of spheres of activity and markets: in 4 parts. Part 2: Trade Policy: Prospects for Ukraine’s Participation in the "One Belt, One Road" Initiative. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv. Retrieved from ief.org.ua/docs/mg/326.pdf [in Ukrainian].
20. Ukraine will export rapeseed meal and honey to China (2022, December 08). Landlord. Retrieved from landlord.ua/news/ukraina-eksportuvatyme-v-kytai-ripakovyi-shrot-i-med/ [in Ukrainian].
21. Ostashko, T., Olefir, V., Venger, V., Boiko, O. A. (2021). Comparative Analysis of the Trade and Industrial Policies of Ukraine and China in the Context of the Obor Initiative. Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe, 24(2), 119-136. Retrieved from czasopisma.uni.lodz.pl/CER/article/view/10002; doi.org/10.18778/1508-2008.24.15
22. McElwee, Lily (2023, February 23). Despite Beijing’s Charm Offensive, the EU-China Investment Agreement Is Not Coming Back. Center for Strategic and International Studies. Retrieved from www.csis.org/analysis/despite-beijings-charm-offensive-eu-china-investment-agreement-not-coming-back
23. Ostashko, T.O., Olefir, V.K. (2019). Prospects of free trade with China: development of domestic export and risks of import dependence. Economy and forecasting, 1, 124-152. doi.org/10.15407/econforecast2019.01.124
24. WITS (1990). India Trade Summary 1990. World Integrated Trade Solution. Retrieved from wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/IND/Year/1990/Summarytext
25. Irwin, Douglas A. (2021, July 22). India’s trade reforms 30 years later: Great start but stalling. Peterson Institute for International Economics. Retrieved from www.piie.com/blogs/trade-and-investment-policy-watch/indias-trade-reforms-30-years-later-great-start-stalling
26. Jung, Euijin. (2020, September). Potential Trade between India and the United States. In Euijin Jung, Arvind Subramanian, and Steven R. Weisman (Eds.), A Wary Partnership: Future of US-India Economic Relations. PIIE Briefing, 20(2), 47-70. Retrieved from www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/wary-partnership-future-us-india-economic-relations
27. WTO (2023b). Regional Trade Agreements Database. RTAs in force, including accessions. Retrieved from rtais.wto.org/UI/PublicAllRTAListAccession.aspx
28. Schott, Jeffrey J. (2020, September). Has India’s Trade Negotiating Strategy Hit a Dead End? In Euijin Jung, Arvind Subramanian, and Steven R. Weisman (Eds.), A Wary Partnership: Future of US-India Economic Relations. PIIE Briefing, 20(2), 70-84. Retrieved from www.piie.com/publications/piie-briefings/wary-partnership-future-us-india-economic-relations
29. WTO (2022c). India. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/IN_e.pdf;
30. WTO (2020, November 25). India. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/403. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/s403_e.pdf
31. Alexandrov, O., Gavrylenko, N., Hrytsenko, A., Davymuka, O., Zamikula, M., Orlyk, V., et al. (2022). Republic of India: A Power on the Rise. Prospects for the development of Ukrainian-Indian relations. National Institute for Strategic Research. Kyiv. Retrieved from niss.gov.ua/sites/default/files/2022-07/ad-india-07-07-2022-gotove.pdf [in Ukrainian].
32. WTO (2022d). Japan. WTO Tariff Profiles. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/tariff_profiles/JP_e.pdf
33. WTO (2020, November 6). Japan. Trade policy review. Report by the secretariat. WTO. Retrieved from www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/tpr_e/s397_e.pdf
34. JTI Ukraine (2023). European Business Association. Retrieved from eba.com.ua/en/member/dzhej-ty-interneshnl/
35. Zhdanov, Ihor (2022, March 11). Military and Political Situation in Ukraine. Morning of March 11th, 2022. Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved from en.interfax.com.ua/news/blog/811466.html
36. WTO (2021, December 21). Republic of Korea. Trade Policy Review. Report by the Secretariat. WT/TPR/G/414/Rev.1. Retrieved from docsonline.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages/SS/directdoc.aspx?filename=q:/WT/TPR/S414R1.pdf&Open=True
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