HOME PAGE Welcome to the site of Economy and Forecasting journal

№ 2022/3

War economy


PUSTOVOIT Oleh Valentynovych1

1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine

UKRAINE’S POST-WAR ECONOMY: INTERNATIONAL AID AND GROWTH POLICY

Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2022; 3:75-98https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2022.03.075


ABSTRACT ▼


JEL: H 56, F 35, O 20

Article in Ukrainian (pp. 75 - 98) DownloadDownloads :177

REFERENCES ▼

1. Pustovoit, O.V. (2021). Price and value competitiveness of Ukrainian merchandise exports. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 2, 7-31. doi.org/10.15407/eip2021.02.007 [in Ukrainian].
2. Individual refugees from Ukraine recorded across Europe (2022, June 9). Retrieved from data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine
3. Bohdan T. (2022, April 1). Post-war reconstruction: lessons from the experience of the Balkans. Biznes Tsenzor – Business Censor. Retrieved from mbiz.censor.net/columns/3330248/pislyavoyenna_vidbudova_uroky_z_dosvidu_balkan [in Ukrainian].
4. Ivanov, S.V. (2019). Economic recovery and development of countries after armed conflicts and wars: Ukraine’s opportunities that have not lost yet. Ekonomika Ukrainy – Economy of Ukraine, 1 (686), 75-89. doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2019.01.075 [in Ukrainian].
5. Yemets', V. (2016, September 28). Recovery of the economies of European countries and Ukraine: historical experience and modern challenges. Ukrains'ki novyny – Ukrainian news. Retrieved from ukranews.com/ua/publication/1784-vidnovlennya-ekonomik-yevropeyskykh-krain-i-ukrainy-istorychnyy-dosvid-ta-suchasni-vyklyky [in Ukrainian].
6. Zhelezniak, Ya. (2022, Aprile 13). 5 economic success stories after the war: world experience for Ukraine. LB. Retrieved from lb.ua/economics/2022/04/13/513199_5_istoriy_ekonomichnogo_uspihu_pislya.html [in Ukrainian].
7. Eichengreen, B. (2022, May 12). How should a Marshall plan for Ukraine work? The Guardian. Retrieved from www.theguardian.com/business/2022/may/12/marshall-plan-for-ukraine-russian-invasion
8. Bohdan, T. (2022, Aprile 25). Reconstruction of the economy: guidelines, levers, institutions. Ekonomichna pravda – Economic truth. Retrieved from www.epravda.com.ua/columns/2022/04/25/686208/ [in Ukrainian].
9. Vlasiuk, V. (2022, May 17). How not to repeat the mistakes of the past and build a high-technology and competitive economy. Ekonomichna pravda – Economic truth. Retrieved from www.epravda.com.ua/columns/2022/05/17/687120/ [in Ukrainian].
10. Novikov, V. (2022, March 11). What should be the "Marshall Plan" for Ukraine after the war. Ekonomichna pravda – Economic truth. Retrieved from www.epravda.com.ua/columns/2022/03/11/683811/ [in Ukrainian].
11. Becker, Torbjörn, Eichengreen, Barry, Gorodnichenko, Yuriy, Guriev, Sergei, Johnson, Simon, Mylovanov, Tymofiy, Rogoff, Kenneth, and Weder di Mauro, Beatrice. (2022). A Blueprint for the Reconstruction of Ukraine. Centre for Economic Policy Research. London. Retrieved from cepr.org/sites/default/files/news/BlueprintReconstructionUkraine_ukr.pdf [in Ukrainian].
12. Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. State and state-guaranteed debt of Ukraine from 2009 to 2022 (million USD). Retrieved from index.minfin.com.ua/ua/finance/debtgov/foreign/ [in Ukrainian].
13. Roodman, D. (2007, December). Macro aid effectiveness research: a guide for the perplexed. Center for global development working paper, 134. Retrieved from www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/15003_file_Guide_Perplexed.pdf; doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1101461
14. Intriligator, M. (2009, Aug). The concept of a peace dividend. Economics of peace and security. EOLSS Publications. Retrieved from books.google.com.ua/books?id=3C27DAAAQBAJ&pg=PA72&lpg=PA72&dq=Intriligator++THE+CONCEPT+OF+A+PEACE+DIVIDEND&source=bl&ots=GrZyZ9PJ-
15. Knight, M., Loayza, N., Villanueva, D. (1995). The peace dividend: military spending cuts and economic growth. IMF working paper, 53. Retrieved from www.elibrary.imf.org/downloadpdf/journals/001/1995/053/001.1995.issue-053-en.pdf; doi.org/10.5089/9781451847338.001
16. Burnside, C., Dollar, D. (2004, March). Aid, Policies, and Growth: Revisiting the Evidence. World Bank policy research paper, 2834. World Bank, Washington, D.C. Retrieved from dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/bitstream/handle/10161/2032/Burnside_aid_policies_and_growth.pdf;jsessionid=6D2FE8A62C6A8BC91DA542A6F696E5C6?sequence=1
17. Easterly, W., Levine, R., Roodman, D. (2004). Aid, policies, and growth: comment. The American Economic Review, 94: 3, 774-780. Retrieved from www.researchgate.net/profile/Ross-Levine-2/publication/4732180_Aid_Policies_and_Growth_Comment/links/0c9605206518e52014000000/Aid-Policies-and-Growth-Comment.pdf; doi.org/10.1257/0002828041464560
18. Hoeffler, A. (2012). Growth, aid and policies in countries recovering from war. OECD development co-operation working paper, 1. Retrieved from www.oecd.org/dac/conflict-fragility-resilience/docs/WP1%20Growth%20Aid%20and%20Policies.pdf
19. The World Bank. GDP (current US$): World Bank world development indicators. Retrieved from databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
20. The Ministry of Economy estimates the drop in GDP for the first quarter at 16% (2022, Aprile 2). Finbalance. Retrieved from finbalance.com.ua/news/minekonomiki-otsinyu-padinnya-vvp-ukrani-v-i-kvartali-na-16 [in Ukrainian].
21. Vorona, H. (2022, May 25). The reduction of Kyiv’s gross regional product in 2022 may reach 33-35%. BIG KYIV. Retrieved from bigkyiv.com.ua/skorochennya-valovogo-regionalnogo-produktu-kyyeva-u-2022-roczi-mozhe-syagnuty-33-35/ [in Ukrainian].
22. State Statistics Service: Ukraine's GDP decreased by 37.2% in the second quarter (2022, September 9). Kurs Ukrainy – Course of Ukraine. Retrieved from kurs.com.ua/novost/911741-gosstat-vvp-ukraini-sokratilsja-na-372-vo-vtorom-kvartale-goda?source=ukrnet [in Ukrainian].
23. "We should spend at least 20 billion dollars on defense," - Hetmantsev (2022, April 17). Delo.ua. Retrieved from delo.ua/uk/economy/ne-mense-20-mlrd-dolariv-mi-majemo-vitracati-na-oboronu-getmancev-395868/ [in Ukrainian].
24. Ukrainian retail sector has lost a third of its outlets (2022, March 29). Marketer. Retrieved from marketer.ua/ua/ukrainian-retail-lost-a-third-of-its-outlets/ [in Ukrainian].
25. The World Bank expects Ukraine's GDP to drop by 45.1% in 2022 and poverty to increase 11 times (2022, Aprile 11). Interfax-Ukrayina – Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved from ua.interfax.com.ua/news/economic/823064.html [in Ukrainian].
26. Kuziakiv, O., Anhel, Ye., Butin, A., Hulik, A., Fedets', I. (2022, May). Monthly surveys of companies. Institute of Economic Research and Political Consultations. Is. 1. Retrieved from www.ier.com.ua/ua/publications/reports?pid=6921 [in Ukrainian].
27. The World Bank. External balance on goods and services (% of GDP). World Bank world development indicators. Retrieved from databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
28. The World Bank GDP growth (annual %): World Bank world development indicators. Retrieved from databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
29. National Bank of Ukraine (2022). Dynamics of the balance of payments of Ukraine. Retrieved from bank.gov.ua/ua/statistic/sector-external [in Ukrainian].
30. Workman, D. (2020). World’s top exports report card for products and countries. Retrieved from www.worldstopexports.com/worlds-top-exports-products-countries
31. 2019 International trade statistics yearbook (2020). Vol. II. United Nations. New York. Retrieved from comtrade.un.org/pb/downloads/2019/VolII2019.pdf
32. Ukrainian manufacturers of cable products (2021). Dilo – A business. Retrieved from internetri.net/dilo/ukrayinski-vyrobnyky-kabelnoyi-produktsiyi/index.html [in Ukrainian].