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№ 2020/2
YASTREMSKY Oleksandr 1, KULYK Volodymyr 2
1State research and educational institution"Academy of Financial Management”
2State research and educational institution"Academy of Financial Management”
VOLATILITY OF THE STRUCTURE OF INTERSECTORAL RELATIONS OF UKRAINE’S ECONOMY
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2020; 2:61-79 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2020.02.061 |
ABSTRACT ▼
JEL: C67; C53, E 17
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 61 - 79) | Download | Downloads :513 |
REFERENCES ▼
1.Leont'ev, V. et al (1958). Studies of the structure of the American economy. Theoretical and empirical analysis of the cost-output scheme. Moscow: State Statistical Publishing House [in Russian].
2.Glushkov, V.M. (1980). Dysplan is a new planning technology. Upravljajushhie sistemy i mashiny – Control systems and machines, 6, 5-10 [in Russian].
3.Karpec, Je.P., Glushkova, V.V. (2017). On the possibility of using the DISPLAN system for balanced management of the economy. In Kravchuk A.V. (ed.) Cybernetics and democratic economic governance ( p. 45-58). Kiev: Center for Social and Labor Studies [in Russian].
4.Matveev, M.T., Arhangel'skij, Ju.S., Rybal'chenko, V.P. et al (1988). Models of the automated system of planned calculations of Gosplan of the republic. Kiev: Naukova dumka [in Russian].
5.Economic modeling and forecasting - Ukraine: a guide to building a model (n.d.). The Conference Board of Canada. RC/Project 439/Z11109 Commitment 221460 – 2003 [in Ukrainian].
6.Pavel, F., Burakovsky, I., Selitska, N., Movchan, V. (2004). Economic Impact of Ukraine’s WTO Accession. First results from a Computable General Equilibrium Model. The Institute for Economic Research and Police Consalting Working Paper, 43. Retrieved from www.ier.com.ua/en/publications/working_paper?pid=1547
7.Mihalevich, M.V., Sergienko, I.V. (2005).Modeling of transition economy: models, methods, information technologies. Kiev: Naukova dumka [in Russian].
8.Dovhyj, S.O., Bidiuk, P.I., Trofymchuk, O.M. (2014). Decision support systems based on statistical-probabilistic methods. Kiev: Lohos [in Ukrainian].
9. Information and analytical support of the budget process (2013).NAS of Ukraine, Institute for Economics and Forecasting, V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space. Kyiv: Informatsijni systemy [in Ukrainian].
10.Arhangel'skij, Ju.S. (1999). Forecasting production volumes based on macroeconomic models and intersectoral balance for the coming year. Jekonomika Ukrainy – Economy of Ukraine, 6, 20-31 [in Ukrainian].
11.Paskhaver, B.J. (2018).Agro-food complex of Ukraine in intersectoral proportions: state and dynamics. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 2, 151-159 [in Ukrainian].
12.Kudin, V.I., Onyschenko, A.M. (2016). Modeling of technological changes in the balance scheme "costs - output" under the terms of the Paris Agreement. Ekonomichnyj analiz – Economic analysis, 25: 1, 37-44 [in Ukrainian].
13.Kudin, H.I., Kudin, V.I., Onyschenko, A.M. (2014). Analysis of the mesoeconomic structure of production in terms of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. VII International School-Seminar "Decision Theory" (September 29 - October 4, 2014). Uzhhorod [in Ukrainian].
14.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2019). Intersectoral chessboard of uncertainty and its application: forecasting, economic policy, fiscal risk, general equilibrium. Kibernetyka i systemnyj analiz – Cybernetics and systems analysis, 55: 3, 28-36. doi.org/10.1007/s10559-019-00143-6 [in Ukrainian].
15.Mirzoakhmedov, F., Nazrizoda, S., Yastrems'kyj, O. (2017). Estimates of uncertainty in the intersectoral balance of the Republic of Tajikistan. Ekonomichnyj prostir – Economic space, 126, 15-23 [in Ukrainian].
16.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2017). Uncertainty in the cost-output scheme: a comparative analysis between countries. Naukovi pratsi NDFI – RFI Scientific Paper, 3, 21-35. doi.org/10.33763/npndfi2017.03.021 [in Ukrainian].
17.Gurgul, H. (2007). Stochastic input-output modeling. Ekonomia Menedzerska, 2, 57-70.
18.Temurshoev, U. Uncertainty treatment in input-output analysis. Department of Economics Universidad Loyola Andalucía. Retrieved from www.loyolaandnews.es/loyolaecon/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/an--lisis-input-y-output.pdf
19.Ermol'ev, Ju.M., Jastremskij, A.I. (1979). Stochastic models and methods in economic planning. Moscow: Nauka [in Russian].
20.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (1992). Economic risk modeling. Kyiv: Lybid' [in Ukrainian].
21.Knopov, P.S., Sergienko, I.V. (2011). Some scientific results of Yu. M. Ermoliev and his school in modern stochastic optimization theory. Cybernetics and System Analysis, 47: 6, 835-853. doi.org/10.1007/s10559-011-9363-x
22.Table "costs - output" of Ukraine for 2017 in basic prices (2019). State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Kyiv: Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
23.Methodological provisions for the organization of state statistical observation Table "costs - output". State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
24.United Nations (2019). National accounts statistics: Main aggregates and detailed tables, 2018. Part I–V. (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.X/61). Department of Economic and Social Affairs Statistics Division. New York.
25.State classifier DK 009: 2005 "Classification of economic activities" (NACE-2005). Approved by the order of Derzhspozhyvstandart of Ukraine dated December 26, 2005. № 375 (as amended). Retrieved from search.ligazakon.ua/l_doc2.nsf/link1/FIN19567.html [in Ukrainian].
26.Classification of economic activities. Correspondence tables of NACE-2010 – NACE-2005. Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
27.Piketty, Thomas (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press. doi.org/10.4159/9780674369542
28.Åslund, Anders. Kremlin aggression in Ukraine: the price tag. Retrieved from www.atlanticcouncil.org/images/publications/Cost_of_Kremlin_Aggression_web.pdf
29.Pustovijt, R.F. (2016). Military expenditures and their impact on the national economy. Finansy Ukrainy – Finance of Ukraine, 11, 79-93 [in Ukrainian].
30.Nikaido, H. (1968). Convex Structures and Economic Theory. New York, London: Academic Press.
31.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2019, February 22). Expert opinion: Working more sparingly is a resource for Ukraine's economic growth. Voice of America [in Ukrainian].
32.Kulik, V.V., Kudin, G.I. (2018). Predicting changes in intersectoral relationships in the cost model - output. Problemy ekonomiky – Problems of the economy, 3, 45-55 [in Ukrainian].
33.Uriasiev, S. (2017). Risk Management with POE, VaR, CVaR, and bPOE. Optimization Under Uncertainty and Data-Driven Science and Engineering. Duke University.
2.Glushkov, V.M. (1980). Dysplan is a new planning technology. Upravljajushhie sistemy i mashiny – Control systems and machines, 6, 5-10 [in Russian].
3.Karpec, Je.P., Glushkova, V.V. (2017). On the possibility of using the DISPLAN system for balanced management of the economy. In Kravchuk A.V. (ed.) Cybernetics and democratic economic governance ( p. 45-58). Kiev: Center for Social and Labor Studies [in Russian].
4.Matveev, M.T., Arhangel'skij, Ju.S., Rybal'chenko, V.P. et al (1988). Models of the automated system of planned calculations of Gosplan of the republic. Kiev: Naukova dumka [in Russian].
5.Economic modeling and forecasting - Ukraine: a guide to building a model (n.d.). The Conference Board of Canada. RC/Project 439/Z11109 Commitment 221460 – 2003 [in Ukrainian].
6.Pavel, F., Burakovsky, I., Selitska, N., Movchan, V. (2004). Economic Impact of Ukraine’s WTO Accession. First results from a Computable General Equilibrium Model. The Institute for Economic Research and Police Consalting Working Paper, 43. Retrieved from www.ier.com.ua/en/publications/working_paper?pid=1547
7.Mihalevich, M.V., Sergienko, I.V. (2005).Modeling of transition economy: models, methods, information technologies. Kiev: Naukova dumka [in Russian].
8.Dovhyj, S.O., Bidiuk, P.I., Trofymchuk, O.M. (2014). Decision support systems based on statistical-probabilistic methods. Kiev: Lohos [in Ukrainian].
9. Information and analytical support of the budget process (2013).NAS of Ukraine, Institute for Economics and Forecasting, V.M. Glushkov Institute of Cybernetics, Institute of Telecommunications and Global Information Space. Kyiv: Informatsijni systemy [in Ukrainian].
10.Arhangel'skij, Ju.S. (1999). Forecasting production volumes based on macroeconomic models and intersectoral balance for the coming year. Jekonomika Ukrainy – Economy of Ukraine, 6, 20-31 [in Ukrainian].
11.Paskhaver, B.J. (2018).Agro-food complex of Ukraine in intersectoral proportions: state and dynamics. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and forecasting, 2, 151-159 [in Ukrainian].
12.Kudin, V.I., Onyschenko, A.M. (2016). Modeling of technological changes in the balance scheme "costs - output" under the terms of the Paris Agreement. Ekonomichnyj analiz – Economic analysis, 25: 1, 37-44 [in Ukrainian].
13.Kudin, H.I., Kudin, V.I., Onyschenko, A.M. (2014). Analysis of the mesoeconomic structure of production in terms of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. VII International School-Seminar "Decision Theory" (September 29 - October 4, 2014). Uzhhorod [in Ukrainian].
14.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2019). Intersectoral chessboard of uncertainty and its application: forecasting, economic policy, fiscal risk, general equilibrium. Kibernetyka i systemnyj analiz – Cybernetics and systems analysis, 55: 3, 28-36. doi.org/10.1007/s10559-019-00143-6 [in Ukrainian].
15.Mirzoakhmedov, F., Nazrizoda, S., Yastrems'kyj, O. (2017). Estimates of uncertainty in the intersectoral balance of the Republic of Tajikistan. Ekonomichnyj prostir – Economic space, 126, 15-23 [in Ukrainian].
16.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2017). Uncertainty in the cost-output scheme: a comparative analysis between countries. Naukovi pratsi NDFI – RFI Scientific Paper, 3, 21-35. doi.org/10.33763/npndfi2017.03.021 [in Ukrainian].
17.Gurgul, H. (2007). Stochastic input-output modeling. Ekonomia Menedzerska, 2, 57-70.
18.Temurshoev, U. Uncertainty treatment in input-output analysis. Department of Economics Universidad Loyola Andalucía. Retrieved from www.loyolaandnews.es/loyolaecon/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/an--lisis-input-y-output.pdf
19.Ermol'ev, Ju.M., Jastremskij, A.I. (1979). Stochastic models and methods in economic planning. Moscow: Nauka [in Russian].
20.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (1992). Economic risk modeling. Kyiv: Lybid' [in Ukrainian].
21.Knopov, P.S., Sergienko, I.V. (2011). Some scientific results of Yu. M. Ermoliev and his school in modern stochastic optimization theory. Cybernetics and System Analysis, 47: 6, 835-853. doi.org/10.1007/s10559-011-9363-x
22.Table "costs - output" of Ukraine for 2017 in basic prices (2019). State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Kyiv: Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
23.Methodological provisions for the organization of state statistical observation Table "costs - output". State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
24.United Nations (2019). National accounts statistics: Main aggregates and detailed tables, 2018. Part I–V. (ST/ESA/STAT/SER.X/61). Department of Economic and Social Affairs Statistics Division. New York.
25.State classifier DK 009: 2005 "Classification of economic activities" (NACE-2005). Approved by the order of Derzhspozhyvstandart of Ukraine dated December 26, 2005. № 375 (as amended). Retrieved from search.ligazakon.ua/l_doc2.nsf/link1/FIN19567.html [in Ukrainian].
26.Classification of economic activities. Correspondence tables of NACE-2010 – NACE-2005. Retrieved from www.ukrstat.gov.ua [in Ukrainian].
27.Piketty, Thomas (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Harvard University Press. doi.org/10.4159/9780674369542
28.Åslund, Anders. Kremlin aggression in Ukraine: the price tag. Retrieved from www.atlanticcouncil.org/images/publications/Cost_of_Kremlin_Aggression_web.pdf
29.Pustovijt, R.F. (2016). Military expenditures and their impact on the national economy. Finansy Ukrainy – Finance of Ukraine, 11, 79-93 [in Ukrainian].
30.Nikaido, H. (1968). Convex Structures and Economic Theory. New York, London: Academic Press.
31.Yastrems'kyj, O.I. (2019, February 22). Expert opinion: Working more sparingly is a resource for Ukraine's economic growth. Voice of America [in Ukrainian].
32.Kulik, V.V., Kudin, G.I. (2018). Predicting changes in intersectoral relationships in the cost model - output. Problemy ekonomiky – Problems of the economy, 3, 45-55 [in Ukrainian].
33.Uriasiev, S. (2017). Risk Management with POE, VaR, CVaR, and bPOE. Optimization Under Uncertainty and Data-Driven Science and Engineering. Duke University.
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