№ 2015/2
Market: forecast and conjuncture
KAZAKOVA I. 1
1National O. N. Sokolovsky Scientific Center "Institute for Soil Science and Agrochemistry Research"
Characteristic features of the formation of the global and domestic markets of mineral fertilizers
ABSTRACT ▼
Due to the changes in the dynamics of output, imports, exports and consumption of fertilizers in the world in general and in Ukrainein particular, increasingly important become the issues determining the characteristics of the formation of global and national markets of fertilizers. The paper studies socio-economic importance of the application of fertilizers for the humanity, analyzes the level of the use of fertilizers in the world in general and the growth rate of their use in some regions in particular during 2010-2014. The article provides the forecasts of global demand for fertilizers and investigates data on the volume and prices of fertilizers for 1961-2014.
Shown the relationship between oil prices and different types of prices for fertilizers, made a comparative analysis of the dynamics of world and domestic prices for nitrogen, phosphate and potash fertilizers. In general, the author determines that with the continuous growth in demand for fertilizers and food distribution and spread of the environmental policy on rationalization of the use of soil resources in the world, Ukraine’s fertilizer market is endangered because of its monopolistic position, dependence on the availability of raw materials and their prices, and greater relation to political deci-sions, including those in the international arena, rather than economic laws.
Keywords: agricultural production, fertilizer market, prices for fertilizers, prices for oil, production and consumption
JEL: Q13, Q41, Q 48
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 104 - 118) | Download | Downloads :804 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Kernasyuk, Yu. (2014). Mineral fertilizer market in Ukraine: state and prospects. Retrieved 17 March 2014 from
www.agro-business.com.ua/2010-06-11-07-43-47/2072-2014-03-17-11-23-02.html/ [in Ukrainian].
2. World market prices for mineral fertilizers on April 24-25, 2014. Retrieved 13 July 2014 from
ukrchem.dp.ua/tag/rynok-mineralnyx-udobrenij [in Ukrainian].
3. "AZOT" is to put the ultimatum Yatsenyuk? Retrieved 9 October 2014 from
novamolod.ck.ua/azot-stavyt-ultymatum-yatsenyukovi [in Ukrainian].
4. Brown, L. (2014). Many Countries Reaching Diminishing Returns in Fertilizer. Retrieved 1 September 2014 from
www.resilience.org/stories/2014-01-09/many-countries-reaching-diminishing-returns-in-fertilizer-use
5. Braun, H.J., Atlin, G., Payne, T. (2010). Climate change and crop production. CABI, London, UK.
6. Bowler, T. (2015). Falling oil prices: Who are the winners and losers? Retrieved 19 January 2014 from
www.bbc.com/news/business-29643612/
7. Heffer, P. and Prud'homme, M. (2014). Fertilizer Outlook 2014–2018, IFA. 82nd IFA Annual Conference, Sydney, May 2014.
8. Agricultural Prices National Agricultural Statistics Service. Retrieved 30 January 2015 from
usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1002
9. The forecast of oil prices. Retrieved December 2014 from
image.zn.ua/media/images/614xX/Dec2014/105867.jpg [in Ukrainian].
10. Chemical industry of Ukraine. Retrieved 2014 from
www.ukrexport.gov.ua/ukr/prom/ukr/14.html [in Ukrainian].
11. Kabash, N. (2014). Fertilizers have depreciated following oil quotations. Ukrainian chemists are losing foreign markets. Retrieved 12 December 2014 from
www.capital.ua/ru/publication/36751-udobreniya-desheveyut-vsled-za-neftyanymi-kotirovkami?issue=476#ixzz3QyT2mMtn [in Russian].
12. Zalewski, A. (2014). Światowy rynek nawozów mineralnych i jego wpływ na krajowy sektor nawozowy [The global fertilizer market and its impact on national fertilizer sector]. Retrieved 21 November 2014 from
www.ierigz.waw.pl/aktualnosci/seminaria-i-konferencje/17908,23,3,0,seminarium-swiatowy-rynek-nawozow-mineralnych-i-jego-wplyw-na-krajowy-sektor-nawozowy.html [in Polish].
13. Skrypka, A. A. (2012). Comparative analysis of development prospects of the fertilizer market in Ukraine and France. Visnyk OnU im. Mechnikova – Bulletin of the Odessa I.I.Mechnikov National University], 3-4, 74-80 [in Ukrainian].
14. Dorohuntsov, S.I. (1995). Management problems and their solutions. Trybuna – Tribune, 7-8, 32-33 [in Ukrainian].
15. Explanatory note to the draft law of Ukraine "On measures of state support and stimulation of development of production of mineral fertilizers in Ukraine". Retrieved from w1.c1.rada.gov.ua/pls/zweb2/webproc34 [in Ukrainian].
16. Group DF (2014). Retrieved from
groupdf.com/uk/pres-tsentr/pres-kit [in Ukrainian].
17. Analytical Department of the UAQ. Retrieved 27 March 2013 from
agroconf.org/content/ukraina-udobreniya-doveli-rastenievodstvo-do-urovnya-uspeshnogo-1990-goda-uak [in Russian].
18. Fertilizer prices for farmers has more than doubled. Retrieved 2 February 2015 from
delo.ua/business/ceny-na-udobrenija-dlja-agrariev-vyrosli-bolshee-chem-vdvoe-289656/?supdated_new=1422949973 [in Russian].
19. Unihovs'kyy, L. (2014). The price formula for gas: Gazprom benefited since 2009, now it is the turn of "Naftogaz"]. Retrieved 26 December 2014 from
gazeta.dt.ua/energy_market/formula-cini-na-gaz-gazprom-oderzhuvav-vigodu-z-2009-r-teper-cherga-naftogazu-_.html/ [in Ukrainian].
20. Farmers looking for an alternative to nitrate. Retrieved 16 April 2015 from
www.agriacta.com/agri-politic(accessed) [in Russian].
English
Русский 
Ukrainian 
