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| НА ГОЛОВНУ | |
№ 2017/1
1ДУ "Інститут економіки та прогнозування НАН України"
Кризові процеси у розвитку інтеграції в ЄС: витоки та перспективи
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2017; 1:7-30 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2017.01.007 |
АНОТАЦІЯ ▼
Розглядаються основні фактори, що зумовлюють кризові процеси в розвитку інтеграції в рамках ЄС та єврозони, пов'язані з асиметрією в системі макроекономічного регулювання та у співвідношенні між комунітарним та національним регулюванням. Автор обґрунтовує тезу про зумовленість кризи ЄС з циклічністю розвитку процесів регіональної інтеграції, пов'язаною з Кондратьєвськими довгими технологічними хвилями. Узагальнено існуючі теоретичні підходи до питання дезінтеграційних процесів та описано можливі сценарії подальшої еволюції ЄС та єврозони, які можуть реалізовуватись як у напрямі посилення інституційної інтеграції, так і певної дезінтеграції та утвердження моделі диференційованої (різнорівневої) інтеграції. Зроблено висновок, що інтеграційна стратегія України має бути скоригована і враховувати різні варіанти можливої подальшої еволюції ЄС. Для досягнення успіху ключові аспекти такої стратегії мають бути предметом багатоваріантних наукових досліджень, які обґрунтовуватимуть прийняття в майбутньому відповідних політичних рішень.
Ключові слова: Європейський Союз, європейська інтеграція, дезінтеграція, єврозона, економічний і валютний союз, кризові процеси, сценарії розвитку інтеграції (дезінтеграції)
| Стаття англійською мовою (cтор. 7 - 30) | Завантажити | Завантажень : 878 |
| Стаття українською мовою (cтор. 7 - 30) | Завантажити | Завантажень : 2630 |
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42. Chalmers, D., Jachtenfuchs, M., Joerges, C., eds. (2016). The End of the Eurocrats' Dream: Adjusting to European diversity. Cambridge - New York: Cambridge University Press.
43. Ott, Andrea, De Witte, Bruno and Vos, Ellen, eds. (2017). Between Flexibility and Disintegration: the Trajectory of Differentiation in EU Law. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar Pub.
44. Scharpf, Fritz W. (2013). The costs of non-disintegration: the case of the European Monetary Union. Eppler, Annegret & Scheller, Henrik eds. Zur Konzeptionalisierung europäischer Desintegration. Zug- und Gegenkräfte im europäischen Integrationsprozess, Baden-Baden. Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 165-184. doi: doi.org/10.5771/9783845243764-163
2. Sidenko, V.R. (2017). Contemporary global crisis processes and the degradation of the climate of trust in international relations. The Creation of a Space of Public Trust in Ukraine for the XXI Century: Papers of the International Scientific and Practical Conference, Lviv, February 17–19, 2016 (pp. 307-311). The Association of Ukrainian Banks, Banking University, edited by S.M. Argevitin. Kyiv: Banking University [in Ukrainian].
3. Alesina, A. and Giavazzi, F. (2006). The Future of Europe: A Reform or Decline. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
4. Taylor, Paul Graham (2008). The End of European Integration: anti-Europeanism examined. London; New York: Routledge.
5. Hayward, Jack and Wurzel, Rüdiger, eds. (2012). European Disunion: Between Sovereignty and Solidarity. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. doi: doi.org/10.1057/9781137271358
6. Offe, Claus (2015). Europe Entrapped. Cambridge, UK: Polity Press.
7. Berend, T. Iván (2017). The Contemporary Crisis of the European Union: Prospects for the Future. New York: Routledge.
8. Soros, George and Schmitz, Gregor Peter (2016, February 11). 'The European Union is on the Verge of Collapse' – An Interview. The New York Review of Books, 63 (2). url: www.nybooks.com/articles/2016/02/11/europe-verge-collapse-interview/
9. Soros, George (2014). The Tragedy of the European Union: Disintegration or Re-vival? George Soros with Gregor Peter Schmitz. New York: Public Affairs.
10. Gilman, Nils and Weber, Steven (2016). Back in the USSR. Is the European Union heading for a Soviet-style collapse? The American Interest, 12 (3). url: www.the-american-interest.com/2016/12/12/back-in-the-ussr/
11. Eppler, Annegret & Scheller, Henrik, eds. (2013). Zur Konzeptionalisierung eu-ropäischer Desintegration. Zug- und Gegenkräfte im europäischen Integrationsprozess. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft. doi: doi.org/10.5771/9783845243764 [in German].
12. Vollaard, Hans (2008). A Theory of European Disintegration. Fourth Pan-European Conference on EU Politics 25th - 27th September 2008, University of Latvia, Riga. url: www.jhubc.it/ecpr-riga/virtualpaperroom/017.pdf
13. Vollaard, Hans (2014). Explaining European Disintegration. Journal of Common Market Studies, 52 (5), 1142-1159. doi: doi.org/10.1111/jcms.12132
14. Scheller, Henrik and Annegret Eppler (2014). European Disintegration – non-existing Phenomenon or a Blind Spot of European Integration Research? Preliminary Thoughts for a Research Agenda. Institute for European Integration Research Working Paper 02/2014. Institut für europäische Integrationsforschung, Wien. url: eif.univie.ac.at/downloads/workingpapers/2014_02_Eppler_Scheller.pdf
15. Schmitter, Philippe C. and Lefkofridi, Zoe (2016). Neo-Functionalism as a theory of disintegration. Chinese Political Science Review, 1, 1-29. doi: doi.org/10.1007/s41111-016-0012-4
16. Webber, Douglas (2011). How Likely Is It That The European Union Will Disintegrate? A Critical Analysis of Competing Theoretical Perspectives. Austrian National University, ANU Centre for European Studies Briefing Paper Series, 2 (3).
17. Zielonka, Jan (2012). Disintegration Theory. International Implications of Europe's Crisis. Georgetown Journal of International Affairs, Winter/Spring, 51-59.
18. Libman, A.M., Heifets, B.A (2011). The models of economic disintegration. Integration and disintegration. Journal of Eurasian Economic Integration, 2 (11), 4-18 [in Russian].
19. Sidenko, V.R. (2014). The policy of completion of the formation of the European economic and currency union: main tendencies and possible consequences for Ukraine. Ekonomika Ukrainy – Economy of Ukraine, 10, 51-66 [in Ukrainian and Russian].
20. Sidenko, V.R. (2011). European Integration and Economic Development. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv, 2011 [in Russian].
21. Mundell, R.A. (1961). A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas. American Economic Review, 51 (4), 657-665.
22. Stiglitz, Joseph E. (2016). How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe. New York - London: W.W. Norton & Company.
23. Frankel, Jeffrey A. and Rose, Andrew K. (1997). The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria. The Economic Journal, 108 (449), 1009-1025. doi: doi.org/10.1111/1468-0297.00327
24. Scharpf, Fritz W. (2011). Monetary Union, Fiscal Crisis and the Preemption of Democracy: LEQS Annual Lecture Paper 2011. Paper presented at the LEQS Annual Lecture 'Saving the Euro – at the expense of democracy in Europe?' on 12 May 2011 at the London School of Economics. doi: doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1852316
25. Mundell, Robert A. (1962). The Appropriate Use of Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Internal and External Stability. IMF Staff Papers, 9 (1), 70-79. doi: doi.org/10.2307/3866082
26. Scharpf, Fritz W. (2016). Forced Structural Convergence in the Eurozone – Or a Differentiated European Monetary Community. MPIfG Discussion Paper 16/15. Köln: Max-Planck-Institut für Gesellschaftsforschung.
27. Galbraith, James K. (2016). Welcome to the Poisoned Chalice: The Destruction of Greece and the Future of Europe. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
28. The Economist (2004, February 12). Charlemagne: The return of Jaques Delors. url: www.economist.com/node/2424124
29. Rousselin, Pierre (2010, June 15). "Après les pompiers, l'UE attend les architectes": interview avec Jacques Delors. Le Figaro. url: www.lefigaro.fr/politique/2010/06/15/01002-20100615ARTFIG00681-delors-l-europe-attend-les-architectes.php [in French].
30. HM Government (2017, February). The United Kingdom's exit from and new partnership with the European Union: Presented to Parliament by the Prime Minister, 2017. url: www.gov.uk/government/publications
31. Schmitter, Ph. C. (2004). Neo-neofunctionalism. Wiener A. and Diez Th., eds. European Integration Theory. Oxford - New York: Oxford Universsity Press, 45-74.
32. Chmitter, Ph. C. (1970). A revised theory of regional integration. International Organization, 24 (4), 836-868. doi: doi.org/10.1017/S0020818300017549
33. Bartolini, S. (2005). Restructuring Europe: Centre Formation, System Building and Political Structuring between the Nation-State and the European Union. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press. doi: doi.org/10.1093/0199286434.001.0001
34. Hooghe, Liesbet and Marks, Gary (2009). A postfunctionalist theory of European integration: From permissive consensus to constraining dissensus. British Journal of Political Science, 39 (1), 1-23. doi: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123408000409
35. Krastev, Ivan (2012). A fraying Union. Journal of Democracy, 23 (4), 23-30. doi: doi.org/10.1353/jod.2012.0064
36. Five Presidents' Report (2015): Completing Europe's Economic and Monetary Union. Report by Jean-Claude Juncker in close cooperation with Donald Tusk, Jeroen Dijsselbloem, Mario Draghi and Martin Schulz. Brussels: European Commission.
37. European Council and the Council of the European Union (2016, September 16). Bratislava Declaration and Roadmap. url: www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/future-eu/bratislava-declaration-and-roadmap/
38. Bartolone, Claude et al. (2017, February 26). Un patto per l'Unione federale. Claude Bartolone, Presidente della Assemblée nationale (Francia), Laura Boldrini, Presidente della Camera dei deputati (Italia), Mars Di Bartolomeo, Presidente della Chambre des députés (Lussemburgo), Norbert Lammert, Presidente del Bundestag (Germania). La Stampa (Italia). url: www.lastampa.it/2017/02/26/cultura/opinioni/editoriali/un-patto-per-lunione-federale-NeF0aVYKZqi5wsZpIEx25N/pagina.html [in Italian].
39. ZN.UA (2016, August 22). France and Italy strive to transform the EU into a federation, but Berlin opposes – Rzeczpospolita. Dzerkalo tyzhnia – ZN.UA [in Ukrainian and Russian].
40. European Commission (2017, March 1). White Paper on the Future of Europe: Reflections and scenarios for the EU27 by 2025. Brussels, COM(2017)2025.
41. Franzius, Claudio, Mayer, Franz C., Neyer, Jürgen, eds. (2014). Grenzen der eu-ropäischen Integration. Herausforderungen für Recht und Politik. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft. doi: doi.org/10.5771/9783845248851 [in German].
42. Chalmers, D., Jachtenfuchs, M., Joerges, C., eds. (2016). The End of the Eurocrats' Dream: Adjusting to European diversity. Cambridge - New York: Cambridge University Press.
43. Ott, Andrea, De Witte, Bruno and Vos, Ellen, eds. (2017). Between Flexibility and Disintegration: the Trajectory of Differentiation in EU Law. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar Pub.
44. Scharpf, Fritz W. (2013). The costs of non-disintegration: the case of the European Monetary Union. Eppler, Annegret & Scheller, Henrik eds. Zur Konzeptionalisierung europäischer Desintegration. Zug- und Gegenkräfte im europäischen Integrationsprozess, Baden-Baden. Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 165-184. doi: doi.org/10.5771/9783845243764-163
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