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№ 1/2000
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Energy balance as a basis for economic analysis and forecast of national energy security
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2000; 1:91-101 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article deals with organizational and methodological problems of the development of consolidated Ukrainian fuel-and-energy balance. The author determines the factors hampering the improvement of the energy statistics system. He proposes organizational mechanisms and methodological principles to introduce monitoring of national energy flows, as well as guidelines of its use for economic analysis and forecasting of the conditions of Ukrainian energy market.
Keywords:
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 91 - 101) | Download | Downloads :631 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Instrukciya o poryadke sostavleniya otchetnogo toplivno-energeticheskogo balansa za 1990 god po formam №1-TEB i №1-TEB(SV) M., Gosudarstvennyj komitet SSSR po statistike, 1989, 46 s.
3. Instruktsiia pro poriadok skladannia zvitnogo zagalnoiu energetychnoiu balansu za 1995 rik po formi №1-ZEB K., Minstatystyky Ukrainy, 1995,
4. Energeticheskaya statistika: opredelenie, edinicy izmereniya i koefficienty perescheta Metodologicheskie issledovaniya. Seriya F N 44 OON. Departament po mezhdunarodnym ekonomicheskim i social`nym voprosam. Statisticheskoe byuro. N`yu- Jork., 1987, 54 s.
5. Energy statistics & balances of non-OECD countries 1995-1996 , International Energy Agency, Paris, 1998.
6. Energiewirtschaft : Einfuhrung in Theorie und Politik von Ingo Hensing; Wolfgang Pfaffenberger; Wolfgang Strubele, 1 Aull, Munchen, Wien, Oldenbourg, 1998.
7. Gospodarka paliwowo-energetyczna w latach 1994-1995 , Glowny Urzad Statystyczny, Warwawa, 1996.
№ 2/2004
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Analysis and forecasting of Ukraine's energy balance
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2004; 2:101-115 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author considers organizational and methodological aspects of development, economic analysis and forecasting of Ukraine’s energy balance in accordance with international standards. Reliability level of energy balance indicators is determined by the degree to which structure and methods of construction of national energy balance correspond to real economic processes. Development and economic analysis of energy balance is an objective information and analytical precondition for realization of this country’s energy policy and attaining strategic objective in the energy sector.
Keywords:
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 101 - 115) | Download | Downloads :583 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Instrukciya o poryadke sostavleniya otchetnogo toplivno-energeticheskogo balansa za 1990 god po formam №1-TEB i №1-TEB(SV) Gosudarstvennyj komitet SSSR po statistike, M, 1989, 46 s.
3. Instruktsiia pro poriadok skladannia zvitnogo zagalnogo energetychnogo balansu za 1995 rik po formi №1-ZEB Ministerstvo statystyky Ukrainy, K, 1995.
4. Energeticheskaya statistika, opredelenie, edinicy izmereniya i koefficienty perescheta Metodologicheskie issledovaniya. Seriya F № 44 OON, Departament po mezhdunarodnym ekonomicheskim i social`nym voprosam. Statisticheskoe byuro,Niu-York, 1987 , 54 s.
№ 1/2009
LIEHR Viktor 1, PYSMENNA U. 2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Energy efficiency as a determinant of the country’s energy security and competitiveness of the national economy
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2009; 1:35-52 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors consider the global tendencies in energy provision and dynamics of energy prices. They analyze energy efficiency as a factor decreasing the vulnerability of the economic sectors to changes in the conjuncture of the energy markets, in particular, to the in-crease in gas prices. The shares of gas cost in the structure of commercial production are analyzed as well as the possibilities to mitigate the negative impact of the increase in gas prices on the sectors' competitiveness. The authors establish that some economic sectors, despite the negative forecasts, have been fairly resistant to the appreciation of energy materials, mainly thanks to the implementation of energy-saving measures and favorable conjuncture on their outlets.
Keywords:-
JEL: -
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 35 - 52) | Download | Downloads :614 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Ob e'nergosberezhenii: Federal'nyj zakon ot 03.04.96 №28-FZ (red. ot 18.12.06), www.consultant.ru/online/base/?req=doc;base=LAW;n=64751
3. World Competitiveness Yearbook (2008). IMD, www.imd.ch/research/publications/wcy/World-Competitiveness-Yearbook-2008-Results.cfm
4. Korzhubaev, A. (2006). Global'noe,e'nergoobespechenie: ocenki i prognozy. Neftegazovayavertikal', 9–10.
5. Samonov, Yu. Anatomiya,e'nergoshoka. Ekspert. Ukrainskij delovoj zhurnal, expert.ru/printissues/expert/2008/28/anatomiya_energo~
6. International Energy Outlook 2008 (2008). Energy Information Administration.
7. World Energy Outlook 2007 (2007). International Energy Agency.
8. Makarenko, I.P. Ekonomicheskaya dinamika global'noj ekonomiki v 2007 g. Prognoz IE'E, 4(60), iee.org.ua/ua/detailed/prognoz/762
9. IMF ne zhdet oshhutimogo vliyaniya rosta cen nefti na mirovuyu e'konomiku (2007). Delo, 25 maya, delo.ua/news/economics/world/info-35205.html
10. Ukraine Economic Update (2006). World Bank, November.
11. Impact of Gas Price Increase on the Economy of Ukraine in 2007 (2006). SigmaBleyzer. TheBleyzer Foundation, November.
12. Materialy Mizhnarodnogo kongresuj evropejs'kyh asociacij v energetychnomu sektori (2007). Rym: Kongresjevropejs'kyhasociacij v energetychnomusektori.
13. Stalinskij, D.V. Nauchno-texnicheskoe,obespechenie,rekonstrukcii,predpriyatij,gorno-metallurgicheskogo,kompleksa – e'ffektivnyj put' snizheniya,e'nergoemkosti,otechestvennoj,metallurgicheskoj,produkcii. Katalog,dopovidej,konferencii' `Innovacijni,shljahy,vprovadzhennja,energoefektyvnyh,tehnologij,stvorennja,konkurentospromo-zhnoi' promyslovoi' produkcii'` (2008). Kyiv.
14. Materialy mizhnarodnogo kruglogo stolu `Energoefektyvnist' ta energetychnabezpeka` (2007). – Kyiv: Mizhnarodnyj instytut menedzhmentu,.
15. NKRE zatverdyla granychni rivni cin na pryrodnyj gaz dlja bjudzhetnykiv ta promyslovyh spozhyvachiv (2009). NKRE, 29 sichnja, www.nerc.gov.ua/control/uk/publish/article/main?art_id=76402&cat_id=33696
16. High Gas Prices – Motivating Efficiency (2006). Troika Dialog, 21 September, www.troika.ru/rus/Research/research.wbp
№ 1/2014
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Reforming housing and communal services: systemic solutions of local importance
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2014; 1:37-52 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author deals with the problem of improving tariff policy in the context of a comprehensive reform of the housing and communal services (HCS) in Ukraine. The implementation of the state policy in this area has been analyzed and assessments of its effectiveness have been made. The article determines factors and features of the formation of the existing power system and pricing and identifies the current trends of shaping the new energy architecture settlements based on the optimal configuration of central and local systems was.The author analyses the methodological base of the tariff formation and mechanisms of state regulation in the sphere of housing and communal services, determines the price and structural imbalances in the system of power sector utilities and gives an assessment of the status and potential energy in the system of electricity and gas, as well as, in the system of heat and water. The article emphasizes the necessity of introducing modern monitoring systems, energy, financial and information flows, as the first stage of the reform of public utilities.Also, the article examines the conceptual position of market relations in the sphere of natural monopolies was examined. The necessity of a rational combination of state, market and civil options towards the formation of an effective system of housing and communal services is justified, and various recommendations on conceptual approaches and action plan for reforming housing and communal services towards improving energy efficiency on an innovative basis are given. The author provides conclusions and suggestions for solving the problem of improving the state policy in the field of housing.
Keywords: utilities, natural monopolies, public utilities, district heating, cogeneration, energy efficiency, tariff policy, cross-subsidies, government control, system monitoring, demand side management, public control
JEL: D42, D43, L12, L16, L42, L94, L95
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 37 - 52) | Download | Downloads :628 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Energy efficiency rankings of the regions of Ukraine. n.d. Retrieved from energy-index.com.ua/media/report/pdf [in English].
3. In-depth review of the policies and programs of Ukraine in the field of energy efficiency. (2013). The Energy Charter Secretariat, 49 [in Russian].
4. Rethinking the degree of responsibility for the future. National Report on the implementation of the state policy on energy efficiency in 2009. (2010). The national Agency for efficient use of energy resources [in Ukrainian].
5. Shydlovs'kуу, A.K. (Еd). (2007). Energy efficiency and renewable energy. Kyiv: Ukrai'ns'ki encyklopedychni znannja, [in Ukrainian].
6. Zhovtjans'kуу V.A., Kulyk, M.M., Stognij, B.S. (Eds). (2006). The strategy of energy efficiency in Ukraine. In 2 vols. Vol. 1 "General principles of energy conservation". Kyiv: Akademperiodyka [in Ukrainian].
7. Gol'denberg, I.A. (2002). Problems of Institution reform and regulation natural monopoly. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and Forecasting, 2, 99–100 [in Russian].
8. Zapatrina, I.V. (2013). Economic and legal aspects of the mechanism disposal of district heating, water supply and drainage. Ekon. prognozuvannâ – Economy and Forecasting, 1, 79 [in Ukrainian].
9. Zhalilo, Ja., Venckovs'kyj, D., Cyhan T. On the main priorities of reforming housing and communal services of Ukraine at the present stage. n.d. Retrieved from old.niss.gov.ua/Monitor/juli/26.htm [in Ukrainian].
10. Lisna, I.F. & Pyvovar, I.V. Current status and directions of development of housing and communal services of Ukraine. Komunal'ne gospodarstvo mist – Utilities city, 102. n.d. Retrieved from eprints.kname.edu.ua.pdf [in Ukrainian].
№ 2/2014
OSTASHKO Tamara Oleksiivna1, LIEHR Viktor 2, KOBUTA Iryna 3, OLEFIR Volodymyr Kostiantynovych4, BYKONIA Oleksandr 5
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
3Markets and Trade Division, Economic and Social Development stream, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Unions, Italy
4Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
5Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Assessment of risk and losses in Ukraine's trade from non-tariff barriers introduced by EES / Customs Union
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2014; 2:21-35 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article deals with the important issues of the existing non-tariff barriers in the trade between Ukraine and the Customs Union (Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan), and the peculiar features in the formation of a new system of technical regulation in Eurasian Economic Space / Customs Union and Ukraine.
The new legislation of the CU and EES on technical regulation causes a sharp decline in the exports of the Ukrainian goods, which are a subject of the new trade regulations. On the other hand, those Ukrainian goods, which are not covered by the new technical regulations, still keep good prospects at the EES market.
The authors make the conclusions regarding the usefulness of the implementation of the Customs Union's alternative technical regulations in Ukraine. The article evaluates the potential losses in Ukraine's foreign trade due to the application of the Customs Union / EES's technical regulations to analogous industrial and agricultural products; also, it analyzes various cases of bans on the import of goods into the Customs Union.
The losses of Ukraine's export revenues in the trade with the EES due to the existing technical barriers, such as the CU technical regulations, amount to at least US 1 bln annually. Adoption, by Ukraine, of some of the alternative CU technical regulations would help avoid losses in the exports to the Eurasian Economic Space.
Keywords: trade policy, trade agreements, non-tariff barriers, technical regulations
JEL: F19; F40
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 21 - 35) | Download | Downloads :773 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Zhukova, Yu.D., Loshhilin, V.S. Texnicheskoe regulirovanie: aktual'nye problemy. Nauchnaya zhizn', www.polyset.ru/article/st745.php
3. Ustranenie texnicheskix bar'erov v torgovle so stranami SNG – predmet novogo soglasheniya chlenov Tamozhennogo soyuza, www.uls-global.ru/info/news
4. Sluchai zapreta na vvoz v RF produktoviz drugix stran v 2006-2013 gg. RIANovosti, ria.ru/spravka/20130729/952760337.html#ixzz3qFYjb3KW
5. Model' tehnichnogo reguljuvannja, zaprovadzhena v JeS, je najbil'sh efektyvnoju dlja mizhnarodnogo spivrobitnyctva. Formuvannja systemy tehnichnogo reguljuvannja v Ukrai'ni. RBK Ukrai'na, www.rbc.ua/ukr/finance/show/model_tehniche-skogo_regulirovaniya_vvedennaya_v_es_yavlyaetsya_naibolee_effektivnoy_dlya_mezhdunarodnogo_sotrudnichestva_spetsialisty_06042010
6. Shtefan, N.V. Tehnichne reguljuvannja v Ukrai'ni: problemy ta dosjagnennja. Normatyvni Aspekty Vymirjuvan', www.archive.nbuv.gov.ua/portal/natural/soi/2011_6/shtef.pdf
CHUKAYEVA Iryna 1, LIEHR Viktor 2, RAMAZANOV V. 3
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
3Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Possibilities and risks of the variants of diversification of the import of natural gas to Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2014; 2:36-48 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors consider the problem of the diversification of the imports of natural gas to Ukraine in the context of the European policy energy security. The problem of the diversification of sources and ways of the supplies of imported natural gas was, in one or other form, posed in all important strategic documents related to the national energy policy. However, in practice, main attention was given to the economy (replacement) of the consumed volumes and the negotiations about the price for the critical imports of Russian natural gas. The economic nature of the differences in the prices for Russian gas for different European countries suggests about the presence of additional non-economic factors. Unfortunately, neither the Energy Charter Treatyno the membership in European Energy Community gave Ukraine any symmetric effects and did not become a guarantee of the national energy security under the dictate of the Russian gas monopolist in the region. The authors analyze the main factors, which will affect the solution of the problem the diversification in the context of the further progress of Ukraine's European integration.
The authors analyze the potential of Ukraine's natural gas deposits and the tendencies of the change in the shares of natural gas in the national energy structure. During the recent decade, Ukraine's oil and gas industries have been characterized by general stability of the extraction. However, the possibilities of the expansion of oil and gas extraction are limited because the main deposits are greatly exhausted, and the explored reserves are not mastered because of the lack of sufficient investment resources. Since 2006, due to the sharp increase in the contract price, there has been a clear tendency towards decrease in the consumption and imports of natural gas in Ukraine. However, even now 66% of the imported natural gas comes from a single supplier, which is Gazprom. Ukraine's gas transmission system is the second in biggest in Europe and one of the biggest in the world. But its technological level is in a constant decline. By expert estimates, the modernization of the gas transmission system would cost about 3 bln USD. However, due to the political uncertainty, despite the declared intentions, no investments have ever come to the modernization of the gas transmission infrastructure.
The authors have carried out a comparative analysis of technological and economic characteristics of different variants (projects) of the diversification of supplies of natural gas to Ukraine. Among the possible variants of the diversification of sources and routes of natural gas import to Ukraine, which are now most often discussed in the expert circles are the following: reversible supplies from Europe through the system of LNG-terminals; Ukrainian LNG-terminal; expansion (construction) of a LNG-terminal in Turkey; the Trans Anatolian Pipeline. The authors define the main possibilities, problems, risks and effects from the realization of the alternative projects. It has been established that all possible variants of the diversification of natural gas import to Ukraine involve certain economic and political risks. The main factor of success of the diversification of natural gas import at the European level is not even the availability of proper infrastructure, but a certainty of prospective availability of sufficient volumes of liquid natural gas supplies from the main exporters, including USA. Unfortunately, the absence of a contract platform (in the form of a framework agreement) between all main participants of the regional natural gas market prevents the investors from being sure in the profitability of diversification projects on the European market as a whole and in Ukraine in particular. That is why Ukraine should conduct a more active policy as to the realization of potential strategies of the diversification of natural gas supplies and avoiding the above mentioned risks.
Keywords: energy security, natural gas market, diversification, strategy, strategema, integration, inter-connector, gas hub, investments
JEL: F14; F15; F21; F51; F52; Q34; Q35; Q36; Q37
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 36 - 48) | Download | Downloads :636 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Perfilova, О. (2010). Problems of diversification of kinds and markets of power mediums in the context of providing of power safety of Ukraine. Actual Problems of Economics, 29 (104), 40-47.
3. Shevtcov, А., Zemlyanoy, М., Verbinskiy, В., Ryauzova, Т. (edited). Diversification of supply of gas is to Ukraine. Desire and realities : analytical message. National institute of strategic researches ’www.db.niss.gov.ua.
4. Unigovskiy, L. (2013). How we must reorganize gas. Zerkalo Nedeli, 37, October, 11.
5. Shidlovskiy, A. (edited) (2003). Power resources and streams.
6. Podolets, R., Diychuk, О., Yuhimets, R. (2014). Features of pricing are in the international trading in natural gas. Economy and Forecasting, 1,53–65.
7. Kasaev, E. (2013). Katarskiy gas in Europe. Independent Newspaper, www.ng.ru/ng energiya/2013-06-11/12_qatar.html.
8. Eremenko, А. (2013). Would be hub, if not Putin "pot-hole". Zerkalo Nedeli, 45, November, 29.
9. Demianyuk, V. Why to Ukraine of LNG is a terminal, forbes.ua/opinions/1366016-zachem-ukraine-lng-terminal.
10. An analytical lecture of Center Razumkova (2011). National Safety and Defensive, 9, 18.
11. Turkey agreed to skip through it проливи tankers with dripping gas for Ukraine (2012). Zerkalo Nedeli, 32, September, 14.
12. The Ukrainian-Turkish negotiations about admission of LNG of tankers pass structurally (2013). Ukrinform, ‘1tv.com.ua/ru/specialnews/2013/02/14/5994.
№ 1/2015
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Evaluating the efficiency of the privatization of energy companies in the context of balancing the interests of state, business and society
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2015; 1:7-22 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2015.01.007 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author poses the problem of evaluating the efficiency of the privatization in Ukraine's energy sector in terms of achieving a balance between the interests of the state, business and society. There are data on the condition of the state corporate rights and their capitalization, structural and functional, and institutional characteristics of the stakeholders (on the example of electricity market). The author analyzes the progress of privatization in the electricity sector, defines the features and challenges of each its stage, and presents the structure and dynamics of corporate rights in the energy companies.
Provided the results of comparative evaluation of the efficiency of public and private energy companies. It is established that ownership is not the main component among the factors that determine the technical and economic condition of the energy companies. The author defines the factors contributing to the poor performance (for the state and society) of the conducted privatization tenders for the sale of energy assets, including the lack of coordination between the state authorities as toobjectives and conditions of the privatization of strategic assets, and uncertainty about the extent of liberalization and protectionism on the energy markets.
In general we can say that privatization has not become a powerful investment resource for the development of the electricity sector and for the formation of a competitive electricity market, which created an asymmetry of socio-economic effects between the state, business and society. The author assesses the prospects and risks of further privatization of energy assets in the current conditions in terms of energy and financial security. Based on the investment results, he makes various conclusions and provides recommendations as to further privatization of the energy sector in Ukraine. The article considers the possibilities of a societally just redistribution of the owner-ship of strategic enterprises in the basic industries of Ukraine's economy.
Keywords: public administration, privatization, social and economic efficiency, strategic enterprises, energy companies, energy security
JEL: G34, G38, L13, L43, L50, D49
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 7 - 22) | Download | Downloads :916 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Holovakha, Ye.I., Dubrovs'kyi, V.I., Koshyk, O.M., Bilotserkivets' O.H., Paskhaver, O.J. (Ed.) (2001). Ukrainian privatization: pros and cons. Kyiv: Al'terpres, 5-10 [in Ukrainian].
3. Fuel and energy complex of Ukraine on the threshold of the third millennium (2001). Kyiv: Ukrains'ki entsyklopedychni znannia, 360 [in Ukrainian].
4. Electricity Ukraine: Current State, Problems and Perspectives (1999). Scientific and Technical Union energy workers and electricians of Ukraine, Institute of Energy Research, Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
5. Yurchuk, A.V. (1999). Problems and prospects of privatization in the electricity Ukraine. Enerhetyka ta rynok – Energy & market, 4 (12)-5 (13), 32-34 [in Ukrainian].
№ 3/2015
LIEHR Viktor 1, BYKONIA Oleksandr 2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Harmonisation of the systems of technical regulation as a condition of increase in turnover between EU and Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2015; 3:71-88 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2015.03.071 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The Association Agreement between Ukraine and the EU provides for the introduction of a deep and comprehensive free trade area (FTA). In this situation, Ukrainian producers are facing two problems: the first one is how to avoid losing the already achieved positions on the domestic market due to possible importation of cheaper and high-quality European substitutes; and the second one is searching for a niche to export, to EU countries, not only raw materials but also of finished industrial products. In any case, a necessary condition for the competitiveness of Ukrainian producers is upgrading their production to meet European standards of quality and safety. The article deals with the problems of reform and harmonization of technical regulation of Ukraine and the EU, whose solution is a prerequisite for increasing and improving the structure of trade turnover between Ukraine and the EU.
The authors present a comparative analysis of Ukraine's position in the global dimension distribution of non-tariff barriers to trade and the competitiveness of the economies of the world. According to the "Global Competitiveness Report" in terms of "Prevalence of trade barriers", reflecting the extent to which non-tariff barriers (technical requirements and standards) limit the ability of imported goods to compete in the domestic market, Ukraine occupies 118th place. Many occasional (ad hoc) notifications on technical regulation indicates the active development of the sphere of trade both in Ukraine and in the whole world.
The authors provide an analysis of the structure and dynamics of foreign trade between Ukraine and the EU. It is established that, as of today, a largely raw-material pattern of Ukrainian exports to the EU has been formed, whereas Ukraine’s imports from EU are dominated by finished and high-tech products. This is despite the fact that Ukraine, on the majority of commodity groups, has its own industrial capacities, though of lower quality and safety standards of finished product.
It is proved that the presence of technical barriers to trade between Ukraine and the EU is a major obstacle to the improvement and expansion of mutual trade structures. The authors define the most significant technical barriers and problems of adaptation of domestic producers to changes in the mode of foreign trade. In the opinion Ukrainian exporters, the most significant barriers to trade are related to the procedures to ensure product quality at all stages of production beginning from design. The issue of testing and certification is in the second place by importance. The third and fourth issues are related to product safety. Thus, the main condition for the expansion of trade between Ukraine and the EU following the introduction of the FTA is elimination of technical barriers to trade.
It is proved that, in the future, provided that Ukrainian legislation is approximated to the EU’s, and the standards and quality infrastructure are properly harmonized, the scope of the Agreement on Conformity Assessment and Acceptance of Industrial Products can be extended to industrial sectors capable to produce competitive products for final use. The authors define domestic industries, which are prospective as to increasing exports to the EU and products that require urgent harmonization of the national legislation with the European one (in accordance with the above mentioned terms of transitional period).
It is established that, together with the significant progress on the harmonization of technical regulation of Ukraine, primarily due to financial and technical assistance of the EU, there are problems and risks of a slowdown in achieving the target parameters of the system of technical regulation and certain inconsistencies between the set priorities and the new terms of trade with the EU which in turn can lead to increased asymmetric effects. The authors make conclusions and set out proposals to solve the above mentioned problems of harmonization of technical regulation between Ukraine and the EU.
Keywords: free trade area, competitiveness, sustainable development, technical barriers to trade, system of technical regulations, technical regulations, standardization, certification, notification
JEL: F15; F19; F40
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 71 - 88) | Download | Downloads :1231 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Dyman', T., Mazur, T. (2011). Safety of food raw materials and food products. Kyiv: VTs «Akademiya» [in Ukrainian].
3. Dyatlova, V. (2011). Market surveillance (foreign experience and approaches to reform in Ukraine). Skhid – East, 2 (109), 27-30 [in Ukrainian].
4. Kozhedub, Yu. (2005). The basis of technical regulations of Ukraine – European Union directives of New and Global approach. Legal, regulatory and metrological support of information security system in Ukraine, 11, 63-70 [in Ukrainian].
5. Koreshkov, V. (2013). Technical regulation within the Customs Union and the common economic space. Retrieved September 10, 2015, from www.niss.gov.ua/public/File/2013_table/0301_prez.ppt [in Russian].
6. Krysanov, D. (2014). The system of technical regulation in the European Union, Ukraine and the Customs Union for the food industry: directions for rapprochement, the possibility of narrowing disparities and reducing asymmetry. Ekonomist – The economist, 2 (328), 4-10 [in Ukrainian].
7. Lozhechkin, V. (2012). The issue of the eighth anniversary of stay of the Polish EU. Hrani – Faces, 7 (87), 15-19 [in Ukrainian].
8. Shnypko, O (2009). The competitiveness of Ukraine under globalization. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, [in Ukrainian].
9. Shtefan, N. (2011). Technical regulation in Ukraine: problems and achievements. Systemy obrobky informatsiyi – Systems of information processing, 6 (96), 17-19 [in Ukrainian].
10. General agreement on tariffs and trade (1994). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from zakon4.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/995_264 [in Ukrainian].
11. World Economic Forum (2015). The Global Competitiveness Report 2013–2014. Retrieved September 10, 2015, from reports.weforum.org/the-global-competitiveness-report-2013-2014
12. World Economic Forum (2015). The Global Enabling Trade Report 2014. Retrieved September 10, 2015, from www.weforum.org/reports/global-enabling-trade-report-2014
13. Jakubiak, M., Maliszewska, M., Orlova, I., Rokicka, M., Vavryschuk, V. (2006). Non-tariff barriers in Ukrainian export to the EU. Center for Social and Economic Research Reports, 68/2006.
14. MFK (2008). Technical regulations in Ukraine: ensuring economic development and consumer protection. Kyiv: IFC [in Ukrainian].
15. Krasnov, P. (2012). The collapse of the hopes of the Baltic. Russkiy proekt – Russian project. Retrieved September 10, 2015, from www.rusproject.org/current/curent_1/krah_pribaltijskih_nadezhd [in Russian].
16. The law of Ukraine "On state market surveillance and control of non-food products" (2010). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from zakon2.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2735-17 [in Ukrainian].
17. The law of Ukraine "On the General safety of non-food products" (2010). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from zakon2.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2736-17 [in Ukrainian].
18. CMU resolution "On approval of the list of bodies of state market supervision and their areas of responsibility" (2013). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from search.ligazakon.ua/l_doc2.nsf/link1/KP110573.html [in Ukrainian].
19. The law of Ukraine "On standardization" (2014). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from zakon4.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1315-18 [in Ukrainian].
20. The law of Ukraine "On Metrology and metrological activity" (1998). Retrieved September 10, 2015, from zakon4.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1314-18 [in Ukrainian].
№ 1/2016
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Regularities in the formation of conjuncture and manipulations of the 'invisible hand' on the oil market
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2016; 1:95-116 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2016.01.095 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author has made a retrospective structural and institutional analysis of the world oil market. Periods were selected as well as five stages of the institutional structure of the oil market. The first phase (1859-1947) is characterized by relatively stable prices for raw materials based on the "one-base price system" controlled by the international oil cartel, which included the largest petroleum companies in the world, so-called "seven sisters." The second phase (1947-1971) is associated with the transition to the "two-base price system" with an increase in oil supplies from the Middle East. The third phase (1971-1985) is characterized by the end of the period of concession agreements, nationalization of deposits and transition to the cartel impact on price indices. Fourth stage (1985-2005) is characterized by the transition to stock market based oil trade, rising volatility and the development of risk management mechanisms. And the fifth stage (since 2005) is characterized by the dominance of financial instruments in the global oil trade.
Based on the results of the factor analysis, the article reveals the main components that determine the situation and price dynamics during the recent phase of the oil market. Beginning with the middle of the first decade of XXI century, the oil futures market became segment of the monetary market instead of an independent commodity market whose conditions depend on the relationship between demand and supply, stocks of marketable goods and investments in the development of oil extraction. That is why the correlation of the quotations of oil futures with the dollar/euro ratios and other purely financial factors is so strong.
The author considers essential features of the oil crises and the etymology of the term of "energy crisis." Currently, the researchers have only agreed to identify the first and second oil (energy) crises which had global implications and a marked impact on the world economic development. It is established that their essential feature was creation of an artificial shortage of oil supply on the cartel dominated market due to political factors. Instead, changes in the structure of the oil market and the rapid rise in prices in the middle of the first decade of this century gives reason to identify a third world energy crisis through the creation of an artificial surplus demand through the use of financial instruments. On this basis, a concept of "energy crisis", which unlike existing contains quantitative criteria (proportion) of price changes in the dominant primary energy resource balance.
The article deals with the influence of the factor of "resource curse" on the economic dynamics and gives various examples of overcoming the "Dutch disease." In economic terms, resource wealth has a decisive impact on the economic dynamics of exporters. Only a few countries have ever managed to loosen this dependence by deregulating and liberalizing the energy markets, and by diversifying the use of the super-profits. The high correlation between economic growth and oil prices in the countries affected by "Dutch disease" significantly weakens their resistance to low oil prices. So we can assume that the minimum prices on the world oil market are, for such countries, the most striking economic sanctions. And overcoming this situation could be by searching a way to build new geopolitical structures, rather than by developing a more rational economic policy.
The author assesses the impact of global conjuncture on the development of Ukraine's domestic oil products market. Significant reduction in world oil prices made almost no impact on Ukraine's consumer market of oil products, since it coincided with the devaluation of the national currency and introduction at the beginning of 2016 of the new excise rates on fuel sales. When the government has no effective levers to regulate the market (similar to an influential national vertically integrated oil company or strategic stocks of oil/oil products) it tries to influence the market through fiscal authorities, which only makes it possible to identify certain abuses committed by oil traders (in the form of unfair competition). And the state system of market surveillance for the quality of oil as an instrument of the new system of technical regulation is not working because of the inspections moratorium, which is part of the reforms aimed at economic deregulation.
The study made various forecast based assumptions regarding the development of the conjuncture on the oil market. An important practical result of the study is justification for the fact that presently, against the background of the divergences in the export policy among the OPEC countries, the interests of the largest oil-importing and oil exporting countries largely coincide. This situation once again brings the conjuncture of oil market in the zone of turbulence. Both exporters and importers are concerned that the oil price stay within a certain corridor, whose lower limit ensures the exporters sufficient export revenues to maintain and increase oil production for their sustainable development, and whose upper limit does not prevent sustainable economic growth in developed countries and the global economy.
Keywords: oil market, structural and institutional analysis, conjuncture, pricing mechanism, energy crisis, factor analysis, derivatives
JEL: D40, L11, N70
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 95 - 116) | Download | Downloads :1199 |
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2. Tad, Patzek (2006). The Hubbert Peaks. University of Wisconsin, Madison, October 6.
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14. Skrybka, E. (2016). Oil budgets. Oil market, 01–02 (930–931), 21 [in Russian].
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18. Ryabtsev, G., Sapegin, S., Lir, V. (2008). Oil products in Ukraine: Present and Future. Kyiv: PE "Sanspareil", 139, 217–222 [in Russian].
19. State Reserve wants to create a stock 2 million tons of oil (2015). Oil market, 46 (925), 21 [in Russian].
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№ 2/2016
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Energy independence of Ukraine: achievements and prospects
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2016; 2:107-128 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2016.02.107 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article provides a retrospective analysis of market transformations in Ukraine's energy sector in terms of efficiency of creating competitive commodity markets. The author identifies the basic factors causing structural changes of this country's energy balance during 1991-2016, among which the following ones would be emphasized: separation of the state's energy system from the centrally-planned single energy system; the uneven decline and increase in the output in individual sectors causing an uneven demand for energy resources; inconsistency of the reforms on individual energy markets and the consequent imbalances in the logistic pattern of the national energy supply (energy, financial and information flows).
The analysis the structural and price disruptions in Ukraine's energy balance shows that, at present, the market mechanism does not ensure the optimum allocation of resources. This situation is the result of the different approaches to the formation of competitive structure of the energy markets and market pricing mechanism. The initial boost in the market reforms towards liberalization was eventually changed to the concentration of national assets that in the end retained the state-monopoly structure, even on the potentially competitive, by their nature, energy markets.
Market deviations already at the stage of formation distort the objectives and effectiveness of their operation, which devalues the effect of the transfer of ownership. The privatization of energy assets has failed to create preconditions for the formation of a competitive structure of the market of natural energy monopolies and led to the consolidation of the market power of the energy monopolies.
The author considers the structural changes in the energy balance and the dynamics of prices for fuel and energy resources (FER) and makes a comparative analysis of Ukraine with European countries by major energy efficiency indicators, showing the differences between Ukraine's structural and technological characteristics with the corresponding average rates. There is a dynamics of the basic indicators of this country's fuel and energy complex in the context of the use of the available resource potential. The author gives an assessment of the achieved level of energy security and sustainability of energy situation compared to other countries.
By the results of the international ranking of energy sustainability, Ukraine occupies one of the lowest positions among the industrial countries. A factor analysis of energy efficiency policy urges for enhancing the improvement of the institutional mechanisms of the modernization of energy systems based on European experience. Energy efficiency is one of the key elements in the competitiveness of Ukrainian goods and services and an important factor of economic growth in Ukraine.
The article deals with the key issues in Ukraine's European integration in the energy sector, in particular as to the requirements of the Second and Third EU Energy Packages. The verification of the process of Ukraine's European integration in the energy sector shows that our country shares and accepts the European principles, objectives and criteria for sustainable energy development, but does not apply Euro-pean methods of task solution, in particular as regards the transparency of the policy measures, consensus of all stakeholders, mechanisms of planning and forecasting (modern decision support systems and risk management, energy foresight, and tech-nology platforms), responsibility for delays in plan fulfilment and poor management, weak coordination between state authorities (duplication), social activation of the energy policy (public involvement) and others.
The article outlines the prospects of achieving the maximum possible energy independence of Ukraine. Current challenges for this country's energy policy are derived both from the specific features in the transformation of the energy sector and branch structure of the economy, and from the global geopolitical and economic trends on the world energy market, which over the last decade have changed sig-nificantly. Ukraine's response the same as that of most industrialized countries consists in reviewing the national energy strategy, whose main provisions are currently under discussion among experts.
Keywords: energy policy, energy security, energy balance, energy sustainability, energy efficiency, decoupling, diversification
JEL: Q40, Q41
Article in English (pp. 107 - 128) | Download | Downloads :735 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Alymov, A. N. (Ed.). (2001). The strategy of structural adjustment of industry. Kyiv: Institute of Economy of NAS of Ukraine [in Russian].
3. Amosha, A. I., Birenberg, B. M. (1999). Ukraine's coal industry: problems solutions. Donetsk: Institute of Industrial Economics, NAS of Ukraine [in Russian].
4. Suhodolya, A. M. (2014). Theoretical and methodological bases of ensuring power safety of Ukraine. Stratehichni prioritety, 2, 129–140 [in Ukrainian].
5. Barannik, V. A. (2015). Energy intensity of GDP of the state: historical Parallels and lessons for Ukraine. Stratehichni prioritety, 1, 113–119 [in Ukrainian].
6. Pysmennyi, E. M., Karaeva, N. V. (Eds). (2010). Economic security of the state and the scientific and technological aspects of its software: Proceedings of the II-nd scientific-practical seminar with international participation, 21–22 October 2010. Cherkassy: publisher Chabanenko Y. A. [in Ukrainian].
7. Shydlovsky, A. K. (Ed.). (2003). Energy resources and flows. Kyiv: Publishing house "Ukrainian encyclopedic knowledge"; Izd-vo OOO "Drednout" [in Ukrainian].
8. World Economic Forum. (2014). The Global Competitiveness Report 2013–2014.
9. World Competitiveness Yearbook. (2011). IMD. Retrieved from www.imd.ch/research/publications/wcy/World-Competitiveness-Yearbook-2011-Results.cfm
10. Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Hungary 2006 Review; Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Belgium 2005 Review; Slovak Republic – Energy Policy Review 2005; Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Greece 2006 Review. Retrieved from www.iea.org
11. Ukraine: energy policy review. (2006). Retrieved from www.iea.org [in Ukrainian].
12. The energy efficiency rating of regions of Ukraine. (2013). Ukrainian Energy Index. Retrieved from energy-index.scm.com.ua/media/report/pdf/UEI_13_3.pdf [in Ukrainian].
13. The Cabinet was told when Ukraine will become energy independent. Retrieved from 24tv.ua/u_kabmini_rozpovili_koli_ukrayina_stane_energetichno_nezalezhnoyu_n687815 [in Ukrainian].
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Energy independence of Ukraine: achievements and prospects
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2016; 2:110-131 |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article provides a retrospective analysis of market transformations in Ukraine's energy sector in terms of efficiency of creating competitive commodity markets. The author identifies the basic factors causing structural changes of this country's energy balance during 1991-2016, among which the following ones would be emphasized: separation of the state's energy system from the centrally-planned single energy system; the uneven decline and increase in the output in individual sectors causing an uneven demand for energy resources; inconsistency of the reforms on individual energy markets and the consequent imbalances in the logistic pattern of the national energy supply (energy, financial and information flows).
The analysis the structural and price disruptions in Ukraine's energy balance shows that, at present, the market mechanism does not ensure the optimum allocation of resources. This situation is the result of the different approaches to the formation of competitive structure of the energy markets and market pricing mechanism. The initial boost in the market reforms towards liberalization was eventually changed to the concentration of national assets that in the end retained the state-monopoly structure, even on the potentially competitive, by their nature, energy markets.
Market deviations already at the stage of formation distort the objectives and effectiveness of their operation, which devalues the effect of the transfer of ownership. The privatization of energy assets has failed to create preconditions for the formation of a competitive structure of the market of natural energy monopolies and led to the consolidation of the market power of the energy monopolies.
The author considers the structural changes in the energy balance and the dynamics of prices for fuel and energy resources (FER) and makes a comparative analysis of Ukraine with European countries by major energy efficiency indicators, showing the differences between Ukraine's structural and technological characteristics with the corresponding average rates. There is a dynamics of the basic indicators of this country's fuel and energy complex in the context of the use of the available resource potential. The author gives an assessment of the achieved level of energy security and sustainability of energy situation compared to other countries.
By the results of the international ranking of energy sustainability, Ukraine occupies one of the lowest positions among the industrial countries. A factor analysis of energy efficiency policy urges for enhancing the improvement of the institutional mechanisms of the modernization of energy systems based on European experience. Energy efficiency is one of the key elements in the competitiveness of Ukrainian goods and services and an important factor of economic growth in Ukraine.
The article deals with the key issues in Ukraine's European integration in the energy sector, in particular as to the requirements of the Second and Third EU Energy Packages. The verification of the process of Ukraine's European integration in the energy sector shows that our country shares and accepts the European principles, objectives and criteria for sustainable energy development, but does not apply Euro-pean methods of task solution, in particular as regards the transparency of the policy measures, consensus of all stakeholders, mechanisms of planning and forecasting (modern decision support systems and risk management, energy foresight, and tech-nology platforms), responsibility for delays in plan fulfilment and poor management, weak coordination between state authorities (duplication), social activation of the energy policy (public involvement) and others.
The article outlines the prospects of achieving the maximum possible energy independence of Ukraine. Current challenges for this country's energy policy are derived both from the specific features in the transformation of the energy sector and branch structure of the economy, and from the global geopolitical and economic trends on the world energy market, which over the last decade have changed sig-nificantly. Ukraine's response the same as that of most industrialized countries consists in reviewing the national energy strategy, whose main provisions are currently under discussion among experts.
Keywords: energy policy, energy security, energy balance, energy sustainability, energy efficiency, decoupling, diversification
JEL: Q40, Q41
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 110 - 131) | Download | Downloads :1417 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Alymov, A. N. (Ed.). (2001). The strategy of structural adjustment of industry. Kyiv: Institute of Economy of NAS of Ukraine [in Russian].
3. Amosha, A. I., Birenberg, B. M. (1999). Ukraine's coal industry: problems solutions. Donetsk: Institute of Industrial Economics, NAS of Ukraine [in Russian].
4. Suhodolya, A. M. (2014). Theoretical and methodological bases of ensuring power safety of Ukraine. Stratehichni prioritety, 2, 129–140 [in Ukrainian].
5. Barannik, V. A. (2015). Energy intensity of GDP of the state: historical Parallels and lessons for Ukraine. Stratehichni prioritety, 1, 113–119 [in Ukrainian].
6. Pysmennyi, E. M., Karaeva, N. V. (Eds). (2010). Economic security of the state and the scientific and technological aspects of its software: Proceedings of the II-nd scientific-practical seminar with international participation, 21–22 October 2010. Cherkassy: publisher Chabanenko Y. A. [in Ukrainian].
7. Shydlovsky, A. K. (Ed.). (2003). Energy resources and flows. Kyiv: Publishing house "Ukrainian encyclopedic knowledge"; Izd-vo OOO "Drednout" [in Ukrainian].
8. World Economic Forum. (2014). The Global Competitiveness Report 2013–2014.
9. World Competitiveness Yearbook. (2011). IMD. Retrieved from www.imd.ch/research/publications/wcy/World-Competitiveness-Yearbook-2011-Results.cfm
10. Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Hungary 2006 Review; Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Belgium 2005 Review; Slovak Republic – Energy Policy Review 2005; Energy Policies of IEA Countries – Greece 2006 Review. Retrieved from www.iea.org
11. Ukraine: energy policy review. (2006). Retrieved from www.iea.org [in Ukrainian].
12. The energy efficiency rating of regions of Ukraine. (2013). Ukrainian Energy Index. Retrieved from energy-index.scm.com.ua/media/report/pdf/UEI_13_3.pdf [in Ukrainian].
13. The Cabinet was told when Ukraine will become energy independent. Retrieved from 24tv.ua/u_kabmini_rozpovili_koli_ukrayina_stane_energetichno_nezalezhnoyu_n687815 [in Ukrainian].
№ 2/2017
OSTASHKO Tamara Oleksiivna1, LIEHR Viktor 2, VENGER Vitalij Vasyl'ovych3, OLEFIR Volodymyr Kostiantynovych4, BYKONIA Oleksandr 5
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
3Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
4Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
5Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
A change in the traditional items of Ukraine's export
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2017; 2:57-74 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2017.02.057 |
ABSTRACT ▼
During 2012-2016, domestic commodity exports declined annually. This trend is dangerous for the national economy, which is characterized by excessive dependence on the external conjuncture. The purpose of the article is to identify external and internal reasons of the reduction of commodity exports and to suggest ways and means to overcome this negative trend. The article focuses on the main export markets and the basic and traditional commodity groups of domestic exports.
Based on the analysis of domestic and international statistics, study of foreign trade agreements, domestic and foreign scientific publications on the problems of foreign trade, strategies and development programs of domestic exports and other information materials, the main factors of the deterioration of external and domestic market conditions have been identified, and ways and methods of overcoming those negative tendencies have been systematized and generalized.
Among the results that have elements of scientific novelty, one can mention the following: 1) identification of certain endogenous factors that hold back the growth and diversification of Ukrainian exports (institutional incapacity of the state-owned companies; the limited character of existing trade agreements (if any) between Ukraine and countries with a high potential for encouraging Ukraine's exports); a comprehensive analysis of the current condition of foreign trade with the People's Republic of China, Turkey and Kazakhstan; an in-depth analysis of the global and domestic market conditions for metallurgical products.
An example of institutional incapacity of the state-owned companies to enhance exports is the activities of the State Food and Grain Corporation of Ukraine (SFGCU). In 2012, the SFGCU and the Export-Import Bank of China agreed on the provision of a loan of $ 3 billion to the Ukrainian corporation under state guarantees. Half of the loan was intended for the purchase of grain (mainly maize) for further export to the People's Republic of China through the mediation of the Chinese National Machine Industry and General Contract Corporation. The second half of the loan was intended for the purchase of Chinese agricultural machinery and material resources for with subsequent delivery to Ukraine.
With lowering world prices for maize in 2014, the SFGCU actually refused to comply with several provisions of the contract, after which the Chinese party filed a lawsuit against Ukraine to the London International Arbitral Tribunal for damages of $ 3 billion. At the same time, a partial resumption of Ukraine's export of maize to China is possible subject to the solution of certain Ukraine's domestic institutional problems - from those that lie within the control of government institutions involved in contractual relations with the Chinese party, to the development of the system of phytosanitary control in Ukraine.
A unique situation has arisen in trade between Ukraine and Kazakhstan. In order to ensure its economic security and national interests, the Russian Federation has substantially complicated the transit of Ukrainian goods to Kazakhstan from January 2016, and since July 2016, it even temporarily banned the transit, through its territory, of those Ukrainian goods, which are subject to import duty with rates different from 0, as well as goods on which import embargo was im-posed in accordance with the Decree of the Government of Russian Federation No. 778 of 07.08.2014. Actually the transit ban involved 90% of all Ukrainian exports to Kazakhstan.
The most suffered are the exporters of machine-building and metallurgical products, whose deliveries decreased by 3 and 5 times, respectively. To restore exports to Kazakhstan, it is expe-dient, using the WTO mechanisms and procedures, to attain the lift of the ban on the transit of Ukrainian goods through the territory of the Russian Federation, as well as to intensify the activities of creating transport corridors bypassing the territory of the Russian Federation for the delivery of goods to Kazakhstan and Central Asian countries, in particular, using the TRACECA corridor.
To expand the exports of metallurgical products, it is necessary to carry out the following measures: to raise the quality of products by raising the volume of steel production in electric furnaces, converters, and creating mini and micro plants as businesses able to react promptly and flexibly to fluctuations in the market of metal products; to increase the output of hot rolled sheet on broadband hot rolling mills based on new technologies and equipment; and to expand the range of metal rolling, in particular to increase the production of cold-rolled sheet with protective coating.
Analysis of the world market of metallurgical products shows a necessity of: development of the production of high-quality transformer and automotive thin-sheet steel; expansion of the production of gas and oil pipes with external and internal coverage by introducing new high-tech technologies; increase in the production of high-quality pipes from continuous cast billets on high-performance continuous rolling mills and the organization of production of new grades of steel with increased corrosion resistance for oil extraction and transportation.
The implementation of these and other measures justified in the article would help overcome the negative tendency of reduction in domestic commodity exports.
Keywords: global trade, conjuncture, export, protectionism, non-tariff barriers, trade agreements, competitiveness
JEL: F 10, F 19
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 57 - 74) | Download | Downloads :903 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Association Agreement between Ukraine, on the one part, and the European Union, European Atomic Energy Community and their member countries, on the other part. Retrieved from www.kmu.gov.ua/kmu/docs/EA/00_Ukraine-EU_Association_Agreement_(body).pdf [in Ukrainian].
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16. China forecasts corn imports at decade low, spooking exporters. Reuters. Retrieved from www.reuters.com/article/us-china-crops-corn-imports-idUSKBN15O0ZO.
17. Skvortsov, Denis. How Ukraine is using the many billion Chinese credits: energy sector, agro-industrial complex and construction. Sehodnia. Retrieved from www.segodnya.ua/economics/enews/kak-ukraina-osvaivaet-kitayskie-kredity-energetika-apk-i-stroitelstvo-695114.html [in Russian].
18. The greatest public grain trader explained where "the Chinese money" went. LIHABiznesInform. Retrieved from delo.ua/business/krupnejshij-gostrejder-zerna-objasnil-kuda-delis-kitajskie-den-323136 [in Ukrainian].
19. Brovinska, Maria. The maize collapse. Is Ukraine under the danger of Chinese embargo? LIHABiznesInform. Retrieved from biz.liga.net/all/prodovolstvie/stati/3467811-kukuruznyy-oblom-grozit-li-ukraine-kitayskoe-embargo-.htm [in Russian].
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№ 3/2019
TIMCHENKO Oleksandr 1, NEBRAT Viktoriia Vasylivna2, LIEHR Viktor 3, BYKONIA Oleksandr 4, DUBAS Yurii 5
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
3Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
4Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
5Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Organizational and economic determinants of digital energy development in Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2019; 3:78-100 | https://doi.org/10.15407/eip2019.03.078 |
ABSTRACT ▼
This article concerns digitalization of the energy industry in Ukraine. The authors review the evolutionary aspect of the gradual convergence of ITC and energy technologies and identify the key features and trends in digital transformation of Ukrainian economy. The international experience and the emerging global cooperation in energy digitalization are analyzed. Overall, the energy digitization is discovered to be a universal trend among the most prominent economies despite different prerequisites, interests, and factors concerned. It is shown that the progress in the formation of the intelligent energy supply systems depends on a number of factors. Unique features of specific subtasks that arise during digital transformation of energy industry are analyzed.
The article proposes consideration of the technological platform as a business model for digital development of infrastructure industries. The authors analyze the European experience in the formation and development of technology platforms as a basic tool for implementing innovation policy, economic growth of strategically important industries and technological development of the European Union countries. The potential and role of technological platforms in the process of digitalization of energy are determined. A structure of technological platform suited for the formation and development of the intelligent energy system in Ukraine is proposed. The main tasks and priorities of functioning of the domestic technological platform in the process of digitalization of domestic energy are determined. An organizational and economic mechanism for the formation of the intellectual energy system of Ukraine is developed.
Keywords: digital energy, technological convergence, smart energy systems, ICT, technological platforms
JEL: L50, O32, O33, Q49
Article in Ukrainian (pp. 78 - 100) | Download | Downloads :1070 |
REFERENCES ▼
2. Egorov, I.Yu. (Ed.) (2018). Digital Technologies in the Innovative Transformation of economy of Ukraine. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
3. Timchenko, O.M., Lir, V.E. (2018). Digital Monitoring as Mechanism for Developing Energy Balance of National Economy. Skhid – East, 1, 23-29. doi: doi.org/10.21847/1728-9343.2018.1(153).127160 [in Ukrainian].
4. Nebrat, V.V. (2018). Optimization of energy flows in the national economy by applying information and network systems. Informatsiini tekhnolohii v ekonomitsi, menedzhmenti ta biznesi. Problemy nauky, praktyky i osvity – Information technology in economics, management and business. Problems of science, practice and education , p. 84-87. Kyiv: Ed. of the European University [in Ukrainian].
5. Lir, V.E., Bykonia, O.S. (2018). Digital Monitoring of Energy Flows as a Priority of the Innovative Development of Energy Supply Systems. Stratehichni napriamy innovatsiinoho rozvytku ekonomiky krainy: perspektyvy ta efektyvnist – Strategic Priorities of Innovative Development of a Country: Prospects and Efficiency, p. 19-22. Kyiv: Analytical Center New Economics [in Ukrainian].
6. Lir, V.E. (2018). Imperatives and Determinants of Sustainable Growth. Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
7. Fyliuk, H. (2016). Problems and Decisions Regarding the Development of Ukrainian Energy Industry. Visnyk Kyivskoho natsionalnoho universytetu im. Tarasa Shevchenka. Ekonomika – Bulletin of the Kyiv National University. Taras Shevchenko. Economy, 4 (181), 6-11. doi: doi.org/10.17721/1728-2667.2016/181-4/1 [in Ukrainian].
8. Pysar, N., Derhachova, V., Kyvliuk, O., Svyrydenko, D. (2018). Strategies for Development of Energy Market in Ukraine with the Geopolitical Issues Considered. Naukovyi visnyk NHU – Scientific Bulletin of the National Mining University, 5, 148-154. doi: doi.org/10.29202/nvngu/2018-5/20 [in Ukrainian].
9. Lir, V.E. (2016). Strategies for Sustainable Development as an Integration Priority in Ukraine-EU Relations. Naukovyi visnyk Odeskoho natsionalnoho ekonomichnoho universytetu – Scientific Bulletin of the Odessa National Economic University , 4, 158-176 [in Ukrainian].
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11. Liashenko, V.I. & Vyshnevskyi, O.S. (2018). Digital Modernization of Ukrainian Economy as a Growth Opportunity. Institute of Industrial Economics, NAS of Ukraine. Kyiv [in Ukrainian].
12. Prakhovnyk, A.V., Tesyk, Yu.F., Zharkin, A.F., Novskyi, V.O., Hryb, O.H. (2012). Automatic Meter Systems in Wholesale Market. Kharkiv: Ranok-NT [in Ukrainian].
13. Prakhovnyk, A.V., Denysiuk, S.P., Kotsar, O.V. (2012). Principles for Coordination of Components in Smart Networks. Tekhnichna elektrodynamika – Technical Electrodynamics, 3, 51-62 [in Ukrainian].
14. Stohnii, B.S., Kyrylenko, O.V., Denysiuk, S.P. (2010). Smart Energy Networks and Their Technical Infrastructure. Tekhnichna elektrodynamika – Technical Electrodynamics, 6, 44-50 [in Ukrainian].
15. Stohnii, B.S., Kyrylenko, O.V., Prakhovnyk, A.V., Denysiuk, S.P. (2012). Evolution of Smart Energy Networks and Their Prospects in Ukraine. Tekhnichna elektrodynamika – Technical Electrodynamics, 5, 52-67 [in Ukrainian].
16. Smertenko, P., Chernyshev, L., Bilan, I., Solonin, Yu., Horokhovatska, M., Kulchytskyi, I., Kot, O., Boiko, N. (2014). Clusters and Technological Platforms as a Mechanism for Development of Ukrainian Economy. Visnyk NAN Ukrainy – Bulletin of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, 3, 67-76 [in Ukrainian].
17. Zelinska, A.M. (2012). Technological Platforms as an Efficient Instrument of Innovative Development of Bioenergy. Innovatsiina ekonomika – Innovative economy, 4 (30), 36-41 [in Ukrainian].
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21. Plakitkin, Ju.A., Plakitkina, L.S. (2018). Digitalization of Economy in Coal Industry of Russia: from Industry 4.0 to Society 5.0. Mining Industry Journal, 4 (140), 22. doi: doi.org/10.30686/1609-9192-2018-4-140-22-30 [in Russian].
22. Nikitenko, Ye.V., Ryndych, Ye.V. (2018). Instruments for Remote Monitoring of Sensor Data. Matematychni mashyny i systemy – Mathematical Machines and Systems, 1, 51-58 [in Ukrainian].
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