Articles by : Bakaev № 1/2001
Economic mathematical methods and forecasting models
BAKAEV , WZIОTEK-KUBIAK A. , MIROSHNYTCHENKO V. , KRAVTCHENKO T.
Development of a macroeconometrical models system for forecasting
Polish economy and polish-ukrainian foreign trade
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2001; 1:85-91 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The paper considers a computerized system of macro-econometric models for forecasting Polish economy and Polish-Ukrainian foreign trade which consists of 21 equations including 13 stochastic ones. The authors describe a series of model-based computing experiments on which basis the three following alternative forecasts are produced: passive, pessimistic and optimistic.
Keywords:
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 85 - 91) | Download | Downloads :262 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Economies in transition, a system of models and forecasts for Germany and Poland Gerhard Gehrig, Wladyslaw Welfe (Eds.)Heidelberg, Physica-Verl, 1993, 293 p.
2. Lukinov I.I, Bakaiev O.O, Bondarenko G.V., Pro systemu modeley regionalnogo prognozuvannia v umovakh perekhidnoi ekonomiky , Regionalna ekonomika, 1997, № 3, S. 5–22.
3. Lukinov I.I, Bakaiev O.O, Bondarenko G.V., Systemy makroekonometrychnykh modeley prognozuvannia ekonomiky Ukrainy, Ekonomist, 1998, № 5, S. 38–45.
4. Rosznik statystyczny 1996. Glowny Urzad statystyczny, Warszawa, Rok LVI, 1996, 717 s.
5. Rosznik statystyczny 1999. Glowny Urzad statystyczny, Warszawa, Rok LIX, 1999, 745 s.
№ 1/2002
Economic mathematical methods and forecasting models
BAKAEV , KULYK
The two-account model of commodity and finance flows
in a national economy
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2002; 1:117-125 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors consider the simplest model of annual economic turnover in a national economy which consists of two reproduction stages. The article contains corresponding graphic, table-based and matrix-based models of economic turnover. Besides, the authors present an analysis of qualitative indicators characterizing Ukraine’s foreign-trade equilibrium.
Keywords:
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 117 - 125) | Download | Downloads :243 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Stoun R., Metody zatraty-vypusk i nacional`nye scheta, per. s angl., M., Statystyka, 1964, 205 s.
2. Natsionalni rakhunky Ukrainy za 1990–1999 roky, Statystychnyy zbirnyk, K., Derzhavnyy komitet statystyky Ukrainy, 2001, 361 s.
3. Peter fon der Lippe, Ekonomicheskaya statistika, per. s nemeckogo. Izd-vo FSU Germanii. Shtuttgart, Metzler-Poeschel, 1995, 629 s.
4. Nemchinov V.S., Izbrannye proizvedeniya, T. 3, Ekonomiko-matematicheskie metody, M., Nauka, 1967, 490 s.
5. Ojken V., Osnovnye principy ekonomicheskoj politiki, M., Progress, 1995, 496 s.
6. Khiks Dzh., Stoimost` i kapital, per. s angl., Obsh. red. i vstup. st. R.M.Entova, M., Progress, 1993, 488 s.
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