Articles by : Shevchuk P. № 4/2009
Forecasting methods and models
SHEVCHUK P.
An analytical forecast of natality for Ukraine: demographic policy checkpoints
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2009; 4:140-149 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
In this investigation, the author shows the dynamics of population in the context of several theoretical hypotheses of natality. Also, the level of natality required to support a certain number of population has been calculated using the cohort-component method. Using a stable population model, the author calculates the level of discrepancy (instability coefficient) of the modern age population structure of Ukraine, its reproduction regime and stabilization period
Keywords:
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 140 - 149) | Download | Downloads :252 |
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