Articles by : Khomiak V. № 4/2011
Economy under the conditions of modern transformations
CHERNYAK O. 1, KHOMIAK V. 2
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
2National bank of Ukraine
Crisis of the balance of payments: factors, indicators and prevention methods
| Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2011; 4:27-37 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors analyze the structure and main factors of the crisis of balance of payments in Ukraine’s economy. The article considers the existing methods and indicators, which may signal about the approaching balance of payments crisis, as well as the main approaches to modeling such crises, among which the most suitable for Ukraine ones are defined. The authors provide models of the main components of balance of payments, which signal about the crisis and select a set of indicators producing the most accurate warning about the increased crisis probability.
Keywords:crisis of balance of payments, international reserves, exchange rate, early warning system, inflation
| Article in Ukrainian (pp. 27 - 37) | Download | Downloads :412 |
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