Articles by : Sokolyk M. № 1/2000
Models, methods, forecastsSOKOLYK M. 1
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Methodology for modeling pension provision on savings basis
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2000; 1:42-58 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The results of research are the elaboration of models for macroeconomic preconditions and process of transition from solidarity-based pension system to an accumulative one; analysis of interrelations between separate units and model indexes; and realization of scenario-based calculations. Results of forecast indexes of pensions provision according to the new scheme were generalized; and recommendations were justified on the ways to implement a pension reform in Ukraine.
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Article in Ukrainian (pp. 42 - 58) | Download | Downloads :427 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Snelbeker D., Modeliuvannia dvokh kontseptsiy pensiynoi reformy v Ukraini Materialy konferentsii Instytutu prykladnogo systemnogo analizu, NAN Ukrainy, 17 bereznia 1999 r., m. Kyiv.
2. Viner M., Aktuarnyy analiz reformuvannia pensiynoi systemy Materialy seminaru "Alaliz naslidkiv zaprovadzhennia novogo pensiynogo zakonodavstva v Ukraini", organizovanogo Ministerstvom ekonomiky Ukrainy ta Mizhnarodnym Tsentrom Perspektyvnykh doslidzhen 29 liutogo 2000 r. (m. Kyiv), K., MTsND, 2000, 33 s.
3. Berezina S.B., Metody prognozuvannia nadkhodzhen i vytrat na pensiyne zabezpechennia v zalezhnosti vid dynamiky i rozpodilennia VVP Avtoreferat dys. na zdobuttia nauk. stupenia k. e. n. K., NDE Minekonomiky Ukrainy, 2000, 17 s.
4. Rzhevskyy S, Vereshagina G., Matematychni modeli perespektyvnoi solidarnoi systemy pensiynogo zabezpechennia , Ekonomika Ukrainy, 1999, N 4, S. 61-66.
5. Ovsienko Yu.V, Rusakov V.P. ,O politike pensionnogo obespecheniya, Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody, 1991, tom 27, vyp. I, S. 46-58.
6. Ovsienko Yu.V, Olevskaya E.M, Rusakov V.P, Sukhova H.H,. Puti reformirovaniya pensionnoj sistemy , Ekonomika i matematicheskie metody, 1998, tom 34, vyp. 4, S. 22.
7. Yatsenko V, Viner M., Strategiia pensiynoi reformy diia Ukrainy, Ukraina: aspekty pratsi, 1999, № 2, S. 19-26.
8. Yacenko V., Vner M., Nado li Ukraiie uskorit` "klonirovanie" chastnykh pensionnykh fondov , Zerkalo nedeli, 1999, 26 noyabrya, № 46, S. 8.
9. Pensionnaya reforma ya Rossii: prichiny, soderzhanie, perspektivy, Sankt-Peterburg, Izd-vo Norma, 1992, 256 s.
№ 1/2006
Economy and the formation of the new system of economic management
SOKOLYK M. 1
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Short-term forecast of wages in Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2006; 1:93-108 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author considers a method of forecasting the pay-roll fund necessary to raise the wages of the employed in the economy and in the budget-funded sector in 2005-2006, with the wages' gradual catch-up with the subsistence level. She determines the forecast's assumptions, scenarios and feasibility conditions. There are forecasts estimates of the increase in the pay-roll fund of employed in the budget-funded sector. The author determines limits, conditions and consequences of such increase for macroeconomic situation in Ukraine and justifies the ways to increase wages as an internal factor of economic growth
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Article in Ukrainian (pp. 93 - 108) | Download | Downloads :388 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Nazustrich liudiam. Programa diialnosti Kabinetu Ministriv Ukrainy, Uriadovyi kurier, 2005, 11 liutogo, № 26, S. 6–12.
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8. Kapelyushnikov R. Mekhanizmy formirovaniya zarobotnoj platy v rossijskoj promyshlennosti, Voprosy ekonomiki, 2004, № 4, S.66–90.
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12. Demchenko T. Aktual`nye zadachi analiza rossijskogo rynka truda v usloviyakh globalizacii ekonomiki, Rossijskij ekonomicheskij zhurnal, 2003, № 5–6, S. 93–96.
13. Matusevich V, Shevchenko S. Osnovnye napravleniya gosudarstvennogo regulirovaniya zarabotnoj platy v respublike Belarus` ? Ukrana, aspekti prac, 2003, № 1, S.17–20.
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16. Yukhnovskyi I, Grek N. Chy bude v Ukraini seredniy klas?, Uriadovyi kurier, 2005, № 56, 29 bereznia, S. 8.
17. Andronov V.O. O koncepcii i strategiyakh social`noj otvetstvennosti korporativnogo biznesa Rossijskij ekonomicheskij zhurnal, 2004, № 11–12, S. 119–122.
№ 4/2006
Economic mathematical methods and forecasting models
SOKOLYK M. 1, PIVEN M.
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Short-term forecast of revenues from natural person income
tax in Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2006; 4:108-122 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The authors propose a technique for short-term forecasting of tax revenues from natural person incomes expected with the increase in average monthly wages of employed in the economy and in its budget-funded sector in 2005–2006 in the context of the gradual bridging of the gap between minimum wage and subsistence level. The technique has been tested on the variants of the change in minimum wage made in 2005–2006. The article provides forecast-based estimates of tax revenues in 2006 (according to preliminary intentions on the amount of minimum wage and the Law of Ukraine ""On the state budget for 2006""), as well as assumptions, conditions and risks of the forecast realization
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Article in Ukrainian (pp. 108 - 122) | Download | Downloads :380 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Biudzhetna polityka u konteksti strategii sotsialno-ekonomichnogo rozvytku Ukrainy. U 6 t. T. 1. Priorytety biudzhetnoi polityky ta ekonomichne zrostannia v Ukraini, Azarov M.Ya, F.O. Yaroshenko, V.M. Heyets (ker. avt. kol.) ta in, K., NDFI, 2004, 640 s.
2. Kontseptsiia reformuvannia podatkovoi systemy Ukrainy (proekt), Uriad. kurier, 2005, № 187, 4 zhovtnia, S. 11–12.
3. Shapoval M. Novi metodychni pidkhody do obgruntuvannia rozvytku systemy opodatkuvannia, Ukraina, aspekty pratsi, 2005, № 4, S. 3–6.
4. Makovska I.O. Podatkovi nadkhodzhennia Zvedenogo biudzhetu, Finansy Ukrainy, 2004, № 5, S. 118–123.
5. Sokolovska A, Lunina I. Vyznachennia kategorii "Podatkova pilga" ta yogo praktychne znachennia, Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2005, № 9, S. 21–30.
6. Zakon Ukrainy "Pro podatok z dokhodiv fizychnykh osib" vid 22 travnia 2003 roku N 889-IV , Pravova zakonodavcha baza "Liga-Zakon",
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7. Nikitishyn A.O. Nova systema opodatkuvannia dokhodiv fizychnykh osib, Finansy Ukrainy, 2004, № 10, S. 65–71.
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10. Budiuk A.V. Posylennia roli organiv derzhavnoi podatkovoi sluzhby v udoskonalenni podatkovoi polityky, Finansy Ukrainy, 2003, № 12, S. 70–74.
11. Zakon Ukrainy "Pro Derzhavnyi biudzhet Ukrainy na 2006 rik" vid 20.12.2005 r. № 3235-IV , Pravova zakonodavcha baza "Liga , Zakon",
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№ 4/2007
Economy and the formation of the new system of economic management
SOKOLYK M. 1
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Knowledge society index in Ukraine
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2007; 4:7-24 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The author generalizes international experience in the methodology of assessing the development of knowledge society under modern conditions on the basis of the corresponding integral index first used in 2005 on the basis of the 2002-2003 data. In accordance with the existing methodology, for the index calculation, an information base was created, indexes of knowledge society and social development for Ukraine for 1999-2004 were assessed, and the obtained as-sessments were analyzed
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Article in Ukrainian (pp. 7 - 24) | Download | Downloads :367 |
REFERENCES ▼
1. Ukraina u vymiri ekonomiky znan Za red. akad. NAN Ukrainy V.M. Geytsia, K.: Osnova, 2006, 592 s.
2. Heyets V.M, Semynozhenko V.P. Innovatsiyni perspektyvy Ukrainy, Kharkiv: Konstanta, 2006, 272 s.
3. Galchynskyi A, Heyets V, Semynozhenko V. Ukraina: nauka ta innovatsiynyi rozvytok, K, 2003 , 220 s.
4. Galchynskyi A, Heyets V, Kinakh A, Semynozhenko V. Innovatsiyna strategiia ukrainskykh reform, K, 2002, 336 s.
5. Chukhno A. Nova ekonomichna polityka Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2005, № 6, S. 4–11; Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2005, № 7, S. 15–22.
6. Fedulova L.I. Tekhnologichnyi rozvytok ekonomiky Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2006, № 5, S. 4–10; Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2006, № 6, S. 4–11.
7. Mykhaylivska O. Yevropeyskyi paradoks innovatsiynogo rozvytku: uroky dlia Ukrainy Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2006, № 9, S. 80–85.
8. Verenikin A. Mikrourovnevoe sootnoshenie chelovecheskogo i prizvodstvenno-tekhnologicheskogo potenciala: o metodakh analiza i obosnovaniyakh optimuma v doreformennyj period Rossijskij ekonomicheskij zhurnal, 2005, № 7–8, S. 106–110.
9. Stefanyshyn O. Liudskyi potentsial ekonomiky Ukrainy, Lviv: Vydavnychyi tsentr LNU im. I. Franka, 2006, 316 s.
10. Danylyshyn B, Kutsenko V. Intelektualni resursy v ekonomichnomu zrostanni: shliakhy polipshennia yikh vykorystannia Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2006, № 1, S. 71–79.
11. Konkurentospromozhnist i stalyi rozvytok v globalniy perspektyvi. Dopovidi i povidomlennia Mizhnarodnoi naukovoi konferentsii 24 chervnia 2005 roku Instytut svitovoi ekonomiky i mizhnarodnykh vidnosyn NAN Ukrainy ta in. Za red. chl.-kor. NAN Ukrainy Bilorusa O.G, chl.-kor. NAN Ukrainy Vorony V.M, K.: In-t svit. ekonom. i mizhnar. vidn, 2005, 203 s.
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№ 1/2011
Economy under the conditions of modern transformations
SOKOLYK M. 1
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Productivity and compensation by purchase power parity in Ukraine and other countries: comparative analysis
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2011; 1:85-103 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The trends of the real growth rates of the GDP, of productivity and wages per employee and of aver-age monthly salary in Ukraine for a long period of time (1990–2010) are evaluated in this article. The author makes comparative analysis of labor productivity and wages per one employee on the basis of the data on purchasing power parity in Ukraine and in other countries during the pre-crisis period. He justifies the measures to bring the levels of labor productivity and compensation per employee in Ukraine closer to those of the industrialized and new EU member countries
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Article in Ukrainian (pp. 85 - 103) | Download | Downloads :388 |
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1. Besedin V. Valovyi galuzevyi produkt yak pokaznyk obsiagu vnutrishnogo produktu galuzi ta yii produktyvnosti, Ekonomika Ukrainy, 2009, № 1, S. 31–42.
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№ 3/2012
Economy under the conditions of modern transformations
SOKOLYK M. 1
1Institute for Economics and Forecasting, NAS of Ukraine
Disproportions in the development of Ukraine’s consumer market
Ekon. prognozuvannâ 2012; 3:47-63 | |
ABSTRACT ▼
The article generalizes the tendencies and specific features in the development of Ukraine’s consumer market. The author defines the macroeconomic factors of instability, which have affected this country’s GDP (by final use categories) structure. She analyzes the following disproportions in the development of Ukraine’s consumer mar-ket: those caused by the insufficient development of the investment market for the production of consumer goods, those between the households’ expenses and their disposable incomes, those caused by the contradic-tions between the households’ final consumption expenses by purpose and the national supply of goods and services, and those caused by the uneven price growth. The article justifies a few proposals as to the develop-ment prospects of Ukraine’s consumer market
Keywords:consumer market, household, final consumer expenses, disposable income, expenses by purpose, disproportions between income and expenses, disproportions between supply and demand
Article in Ukrainian | Download | Downloads :458 |
REFERENCES ▼
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